predicting earthquakes

Prediction of the Peak Magnitude Earthquake.

R. Ashok Kumar,B.E.,M.E(Power),Negentropist,Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299,Tardeo Road,Nana Chowk,Mumbai-400007.

e mail: ashokuku@rediffmail.com

Latest News

Note: The header graph on this article is essentially the same from one hydrological year to the next and hence has not been updated. However I am creating the update and comparing it with this soon!

Update time = Sun Jan 1 6:00:02 UTC 2012

A major 7 MM earthquake occurred at Izu Islands:

7.0

2012/01/01 05:27:55

31.416

138.155

348.5

IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION

See the map:

See the USGS map for this for past 7 days showing 188 quakes on the map:

This was predicted as discussed in the Update for Fri Dec 30 8:37:34 UTC 2011 below. The hotspots at -48 longitude(therefore at -48-90=-138 longitude and therefore at 138 longitude!) and the blank hotspots in the Japan Region showed this plausible:

Total number of fires detected : 132
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The hotspots web fire mapper map just after the earthquake is :

This is a deep focus earthquake. After such earthquakes especially in the Izu region, another major or great earthquake seems imminent perhaps in the Honshu region. See the hotspot map for 31December 2011:

See the indication for this in the -142 longitude(-142+90=-52 and therefore in the 142 longitude band on 31 December 2011):

Total number of fires detected : 106
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

See also the hotspots in Australia in the Honshu longitude band:

Total number of fires detected : 125
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Fri Dec 30 8:37:34 UTC 2011

The Thane cyclone,Cyclone Four together with worldwide hotspots is a pointer to strong/major earthquakes to occur at one or more of the following locations in the days to come:

Kashmir region or Jalalabad region or Eastern Turkey or Yerawan or Northwest Sumatra-Andaman Bay or North East India region or Myanmar or Thailand or Laos or Vietnam or Japan region or New Zealand region or Rift Valley region,Africa or Tamilnadu or Kerala.

See the hotspot,cyclone and earthquake maps:

The dams, earthquakes and cyclones are interconnected: Climate change!

See

http://damsequakescyclones.blogspot.com/

Update time = Wed Dec 28 2:25:56 UTC 2011

A strong shallow earthquake occurred in Siberia(in one of the longitude areas predicted on December 11 2011 for the peak magnitude earthquake for December ) :

6.6

2011/12/27 15:21:56

51.858

95.825

6.9

SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA

In this area hotspots occurred in the Northeast Indian Himalayan bend at 440 utc on 27th December:

Total number of fires detected : 24
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

This also the longitude band of the great earthquake at the Andaman Sumatra region on 26th December 2004 which killed some 300000 people during the accompanying tsunami.

See the hotspot picture on the web fire mapper for 27th December 2011:

Note that there was a great increase in the number of hotspots in the world for the 24 hour period ending around 1030 utc on 27th December 2011, to some 15372 from 10370 odd on 26th December 2011, 930 utc and down to around 12077 at midnight(for previous 24hrs) on 27th December 2011.

And note this regular feature of the bird deaths in a related longitude band:

http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2011/12/27/slew-of-dead-birds-found-along-roadway-in-mt-sterling-kentucky/

The location: Mount Sterling, Kentucky:

38.0565,-83.9433. And 90- 84= 6 and 90+6= 96. And the longitude of the strong Siberian quake: 95.825.

And this is no fairy tale. It is the reality of the cumulative effects of modern civilization's excesses, dams galore.

See http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com

and http://collateralsofclimatechange.blogspot.com/

Update time = Sat Dec 24 9:17:36 UTC 2011

The Japanese isles are showing blank regarding hotspots for a few days now. So is the Sumatra Andaman Bay nose of the tip of NW Sumatra. And snow and blizzards hit the area of Northern Japan(Hokkaidu/Tohoku). So keep your fingers crossed for a strong to a major quake in the region.

http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/blizzards-hit-northern-japan?utm_campaign=jt_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_source=jt_newsletter_2011-12-24_AM

See the web fire mapper hotspots here:

http://firefly.geog.umd.edu/firemap/

Note the intensity of hotspots in related areas:

Total number of fires detected : 164
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 3351
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 398
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 627
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update Time: Thursday December 15 at 1355 hrs UTC

On 14 December 2011 a major earthquake occurred in Papua New Guinea, preceded by the death of a thousand or more Grebes in Utah:

7.1

2011/12/14 05:04:57

-7.518

146.767

121.2

EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

This was followed by a strong earthquake South of Kermadec Isles, New Zealand:

6.3

2011/12/15 10:10:08

-32.604

-179.103

34.1

SOUTH OF THE KERMADEC ISLANDS

The Fukushima Region is ominously devoid of any hotspots while the hotspots in the rest of the world indicate intense hotspots created by dams of the world at locations related to the Fukushima Region. See the following hotspot map created at 15hrs utc on December 15 2011:

From this map it is derived that we may expect a big earthquake either in the New Zealand region or the Fukushima Region. An additional clue is that since we expect the foundations of the nuclear reactors of Daichi 1 may be heated up by the coriums escaping from the containment vessels, the heat may be enough to help in causing an earthquake because of the action of the surges of water moments applied to the Region.

As posted on 11 December 2011,the prediction for the peak magnitude earthquake in December 2011 is as follows:

My prediction for the peak magnitude earthquake in December 2011 based on long term average from hydrological year 1973 to that of 2009 is an average picture as follows:
Magnitude 7.1 MM to 8.7 MM with a mean of 8.4 MM expected between 9th to 16th December. The expected location based on Web Fire Mapper image of hotspots read at Update time = Mon Dec 5 11:22:14 UTC 2011 and the fact of whales washed ashore at West Corfu at Latitude 39.6, Longitude 20 and mass falling of dying crows at Jharkhand,India at 23.61,85.3 is at one of the longitude bands around -20 or 20 or -70 or 70 or -110 or 110 or
-160 or 160 or-85 or 85 or -95 or 95 or -175 or 175 or -5 or 5.
During predam era the cosmic forces were perhaps the sole triggers while during the dam era, man-made effects like those of dams dominate as shown for both the predam and the dam era at http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com
Regarding the the prognosis taking the phenomena of the whales and crows see
http://groups.google.com/group/discuss-kosi/browse_thread/thread/d685a96dabfbaa50?hl=en

A strong earthquake occurred at Guererro, Mexico today:

6.5

2011/12/11 01:47:26

18.038

-99.796

64.9

GUERRERO, MEXICO

(Magnitude,date,Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Region)
(Around the -95 longitude band!).
Await further earthquakes in December.

Update time = Sat Aug 20 17:20:42 UTC 2011

A major earthquake has occurred at Vanuatu a few minutes ago reasonably due to dam content surges as predicted in the Pacific Ring of Fire:

MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	7.5	2011/08/20 16:55:03	-18.259	168.069	40.6	VANUATU

Update time = Fri Aug 19 7:07:07 UTC 2011

The strong earthquake off Fukushima has been downgraded to a 6.3 MM quake:

6.3

2011/08/19 05:36:33

37.673

141.716

43.6

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Fri Aug 19 6:02:18 UTC 2011

A 6.5 MM strong earthquake occurred near Fukushima reactors:

MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	6.5	2011/08/19 05:36:32	37.667	141.747	39.1	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	4.6	2011/08/19 04:51:03	39.224	141.988	32.7	EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	6.2	2011/08/19 03:54:28	-16.526	-176.905	413.2	FIJI REGION
MAP	5.0	2011/08/19 02:28:51	43.261	146.031	106.3	KURIL ISLANDS
MAP	4.3	2011/08/19 00:53:47	13.254	-91.514	35.0	OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
MAP	4.6	2011/08/19 00:42:22	37.866	144.419	20.9	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

See the cluster in the Pacific Ring of Fire!

See the effect of dams!

See the glaring lacuna in the design for meeting water needs by dams at

http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/

More earthquakes, major and possibly a great earthquake are due in the Pacific Ring of Fire in the coming weeks.

Update time = Wed Aug 17 15:08:10 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake occurred off the east coast of Honshu:

6.2

2011/08/17 11:44:08

36.776

143.773

10.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

On account of the heavy rains in the India China region and massive surges in daily dam contents as noted for 30 large India dams alone we may expect a major or a great earthquake in the Pacific Ring of Fire in the next weeks:

Surges in daily dam contents for 30 India dams:

13 August 2011 -12900.45 MCM Total Contents 115262.63 MCM -149 km/s

14 August 2011 35973.51 MCM Total Contents 151236.14 MCM 416 km/s

15 August 2011 -7718.93 MCM Total Contents 143517.21 MCM -89 km/s

The last column above is the daily rate of change of water pressure head at the centre of gravity of the water masses behind the 30 dams. Look at the enormity of the surges in water pressure head.

Going by the present trend in hotspot clusters, the big earthquake may occur either in the Fukushima region or the Indonesian or the South Island Region of New Zealand.

Update time = Fri Aug 12 5:55:01 UTC 2011

There was a strong earthquake near Honshu yesterday:

2011-08-11 18:22:07.011hr 35min ago

37.11

140.95

6.0

EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

This is an EMSU report. However see below:

This was reported as a 5.9 MM quake by USGS:

5.9

2011/08/11 18:22:05

36.999

141.080

38.0

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Wed Aug 10 8:19:44 UTC 2011

The hotspot map at 8 hrs UTC on 10 Aug 2011 shows the maximum number of hotspots, 113, in Japan to be near the location of the 9 MM great earthquake of 11 March 2011:

Japan 8 hrs utc on 10 Aug 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 113
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Also suddenly bright hotspots have appeared in South Island New Zealand:

Total number of fires detected : 7
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The rainfall in India and China is intense as shown by the All India Daily Rainfall Time Series till 9 August 2011:

Consequently for the past three days there have been large surges in daily reservoir contents as we infer from the 30 dam data in India:

Thus a major or a great earthquake is imminent most probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire region-in the coming weeks.

Update time = Fri Aug 5 7:02:03 UTC 2011

The maximum daily All India rainfall so far occurred on 4th August 2011. Note that the rainfall in China is also high as inferred from cloud satellite picture:

Note that the Web Fire Mapper as of 830 UTC shows that the Japan Region is having intense hotspots while New Zealand has none. One of these regions should expect a major or a great earthquake in the coming weeks.

Update time = Thu Aug 4 14:21:08 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake occurred at Kuril Isles:

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	6.3	2011/08/04 13:51:36	48.784	154.835	49.0	KURIL ISLANDS

The hotspot numbers jumped to 13355 at 1401 hrs UTC from about 7600 at 1300 hrs UTC and this quake occurred. The surge in rains at least in India also was huge:

Update time = Tue Aug 2 5:22:07 UTC 2011

Close on the heels of the 6.8 earthquake in the Pacific Ring of Fire another strong earthquake occurred in the Honshu region:

6.2

2011/08/01 14:58:09

34.635

138.443

10.0

NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

This is in line with the intense hotspots occurring in this longitude band and associated longitude bands in Africa. See for example the Web Fire Mapper map for 23 July 2011 below. Dams the cause.

As at 15hrs utc the hotspots in Africa are intense:

Total number of fires detected : 7680
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 5022
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Further during the past week to 10 days there have been heavy surges(dMCM) in dam content(MCM) and thus the corresponding response of Mother Earth with strong earthquakes in the Pacific Ring of Fire(for 30 India dams alone cited in http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/) :

Note: Dam Contents and their surges in Million cubic meters(MCM); Time: hhmmss.ss

Date/ Time/ Lat/ Long/ Mag(MM)/ Depth(km)/ dMCM/ MCM

2011 7 23/ 43424/ 38.932/ 141.907/ 6.4/ 38.6/ 962.49/ 81528.7
2011 7 24/ 185125/ 37.758/ 141.54/ 6.2/ 35.6 /9980.03/ 91508.73
2011 7 25 / 5051/ -3.213/ 150.672/ 6.2 /34.5/ 4392.08/ 95900.81
2011 7 26 / 174422/ 25.186/ -109.55/ 5.9/ 10.2/ 9892.25/ 105793.06
2011 7 27/ 230030/ 10.735/ -43.437/ 5.9/ 6.3/ 2546.92/ 108339.98
2011 7 28/ 195019/ -35.718/ -73.104/ 5.6/ 26.1/ 424.9/ 108764.88
2011 7 29/ 74223.95/ -23.785/ 179.746/ 6.2/ 537 -12123.15/ 96641.73
2011 7 30/ 185352.09/ 36.966/ 141.058/ 6.4/ 43 2018.84/ 98660.57
2011 7 31/ 233857.11/ -3.549/ 144.831/ 6.8/ 13 2407.84/ 101068.41

We may expect a major or a great earthquake in the Pacific Ring of Fire Region in the coming weeks with the kind of stress changes created by surges of daily dam content changes, with heavy rains in the India-China region.

Update time = Mon Aug 1 5:00:04 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake occurred near New Guinea PNG on 31 July 2011:

6.8

2011/07/31 23:38:58

-3.569

144.844

16.8

NEAR NORTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G.

Hotspots have reappeared in Northern Japan and also in the South Island New Zealand.

Update time = Sun Jul 31 15:49:12 UTC 2011

There has been a strong earthquake in the Pacific Rim this time at Vanuatu, in the same longitude band as the South Island of New Zealand.

6.2

2011/07/31 14:34:50

-16.995

171.630

19.4

VANUATU REGION

Note that the number of hotspots have increased from 6022 at 1301 hrs UTC to 14384 at 1500 hrs UTC and the consequence is the strong earthquake. These hotspots have been caused by intense rainfall in the India region and the China region. The strong earthquakes in the past weeks have corresponded with the hotspots generated by the intense rainfall in the India China Region causing the reservoirs behind the dams to fill up rapidly. Note that there have been 3 strong earthquakes on three consequtive days in the Pacific Rim. This is a precursor for a major or a great earthquake most probably in the Pacific Rim in the coming weeks as the unusually heavy rainfall today over India shows.

The rainfall for 31 July as at 1800 hrs is as shown in the India Meterological Department Table:

RAINFALL (cm) DATED July 31, 2011

ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS

Port Blair	9
Hut Bay	8
Maya Bandar	5
Long Island	3

ARUNACHAL PRADESH

Itanagar	3
Itanagar(Naharlagun)	2
Bhalukpong	2

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA

Dhubri	5
Badatighat	3
Dibrugarh A/P	2
Dibrugarh(AWS)	2
Golaghat	2
Golaghat(AWS)	2
Kampur	2
Beki Rd. Bridge	2
Barpeta	2
Panbari	2
Bongaigaon(AWS)	2
Dhemaji(AWS)	2
Cherrapunji	1
Manas N.H xing	1

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA

Kailasahar	12

SUBâ€“HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM

Domohani	7
Sevoke	7
Chengmari/Diana	6
Pedong	6
Jalpaiguri	5
Nagarkata	5
Murti	5
Jalpaiguri AWS	5
Falakata	5
NH-31 bridge	5
Pundibari AWS	4
Kalimpong	3
Neora	3
Gajoldoba	3
Kalimpong AWS	3
Tadong	3
Alipurduar(CWC)	3
Hasimara	2
Mathabhanga	2
Darjeeling	2
Malda	2
Gangtok	1
Sukiapokhri	1
Singla bazar	1
Khanitar	1
Buxaduar	1
Bagrakote	1
Damthang	1
Champasari	1
Barobhisha	1
Chepan	1
Mangan	1
Cooch Behar	1
Kumargram	1
Bagdogra IAF	1

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL

Simula	3
Tantloi	1

ORISSA

Koraput	4
Paralakhemundi	4
Nawapara	2
Phulbani	2
Champua	1

JHARKHAND

Balumath	5
Hindgir	1

BIHAR

Motihari	16
Galgalia	13
Tribeni/Balmiki	10
Araria	9
Sonbarsa	8
Chanpatia	8
Dhengbridge	7
Dhengraghat	5
Lalbegiaghat	4
Chatia	4
Ramnagar	4
Chargharia	3
Sripalpur	2
Gaunaha	2
Sheohar	1
Balan	1
Taibpur	1

EAST UTTAR PRADESH

Biswan	16
Bahraich	8
Bindki	5
Maharajganj	5
Gorakhpur	4
Domeriaganj	4
Palliakalan	4
Deogaon Lalganj	3
Ghazipur	3
Salimpur	3
Akbarpur	3
Khalilabad	2
Bhatpurwaghat	2
Patti	2
Balrampur	2
Kunda	2
Musafir khana	2
Katerniaghat	1
Zamania	1
Unnao	1
Misrikh	1
Mahul Pnulpur	1
Chanderdeepghat	1
Hata	1
Azamgarh	1
Kanpur IAF	1
Ballia	1
Kakardarighat	1

WEST UTTAR PRADESH

Sahaswan	3
Jalalabad	3
Maudeha	3
Puranpur	2
Mathura	2
Agra Aero(IAF)	1
Baheri	1

UTTARAKHAND

Pantnagar	6
Haldwani	4
Munsiyari	4
Tharali	4

HIMACHAL PRADESH

Khairi	1

WEST RAJASTHAN

Makrana SR	5
Rajgarh/Sadulpur	5
Taranagar/Reni	4
Sadulsahar SR	3
Hanumangarh	3
Merta City	2
Padampur	2
Didwana	2
Nawa	2
Suratgarh	1
Ratangarh	1
Lunkaransar	1
Sriganganagar Agro	1
Ganganagar	1
Nohar SR	1
Sriganganagar AWS	1

EAST RAJASTHAN

Railmagra SR	7
Danpur	7
Kapasan SR	6
Nawalgarh	6
Ghatol	6
Dungla SR	5
Nimbahera	5
Malsisar SR	5
Bhainsroadgarh SR	5
Patan	5
Bagidora SR	4
Mangrol	4
Talera SR	4
Lalsot	4
Jhunjhunu	4
Mavli	4
Ramganjmandi SR	4
Baran	3
Baran AWS	3
Asnawar SR	3
Bhopalsagar SR	3
Jagpura SR	3
Rashmi SR	3
Mandrayal SR	3
Bamanwas SR	3
Ganeshpur SR	3
Kotri	3
Nithuwa SR	2
Dug	2
Jhalawar	2
Chittorgarh	2
Chittorgarh AWS	2
Rajsamand AWS	2
Mounntabu Tehsil SR	2
Chhotisadri	2
Rajsamand	2
Badesar SR	1
Gangrar	1
Aspur	1
Degod SR	1
Govindgarh SR	1
Jhalarapatan SR	1
Shahabad	1
Banera SR	1
Galiakot SR	1
Hindaun	1
Asind	1
Mandalgarh	1
Viratnagar SR	1
Anta SR	1
Udaipurwati	1
Sarara	1
Indergarh SR	1
Jaipur Agro	1
Mount Abu	1
Karauli	1
Sikrai	1
Sabla SR	1
Jhalawar AWS	1
Chirawa	1
Mountabu AWS	1

WEST MADHYA PRADESH

Biaora	8
Guna	6
Suvasara	3
Hoshangbad	2
Bhanpura	2
Raisen	2
Ujjain	2
Betul	2
Kannod	1
Shivpuri	1
Manasa	1
Shujalpur	1
Khachrod	1
Garoth	1

EAST MADHYA PRADESH

Khajuraho Aero	1
Tikamgarh	1

GUJARAT REGION

Madhbun	23
Silvassa	21
Bansda	16
Bardoli	14
Nanipalson	11
Dharampur	10
Anklav	9
Mahuwa	9
Tarapur	9
Umbergaon	9
Chikhli	8
Borsad	8
Bodeli	7
Vapi	7
Kamrej	7
Valod	6
Tilakwada	5
Ahwa	5
Ranpur	4
Pardi	4
Daman	4
Anand	4
Chhota-Udepur	4
Sankheda	4
Khambhat	3
Gandevi	3
Petlad	3
Ankleshwar	3
Olpad	3
Vadgam	2
Vyara	2
Bulsar	2
Baroda Aero	2
Ahmedabad Aero	2
V.Vidyanagar SR	2
Songadh Fort	2
Ukai	2
Sidhpur	2
Waghodia	1
Dhandhuka	1
Jambughoda	1
Detroj	1
Navsari	1
Mandvi	1
Barwala	1
Sojitra	1
Dantiwada	1
Dabhoi	1
Palsana	1
Mandal	1
Visnagar	1
Mangrol	1
Rajpipala	1

SAURASHTRA, KUTCH & DIU

Limbadi	7
Upleta	6
Bachau	6
Kalyanpur	5
Vanthali	5
Lalpur	4
Malia	4
Jetpur-Moni	4
Junagadh	3
Keshod Aero	3
Kodinar	3
Mangrol	3
Manavadar	3
Bagsra	3
Ranawao	3
Dhoraji	3
Gondal	3
Garidhar	2
Porbandar Aero	2
Bhanwad	2
Sutrapada	2
Talala	2
Veraval	2
Talaja	2
Kutiana	2
Dhari	1
Lilia	1
Chuda	1
Lodhika	1
Palitana	1

KONKAN & GOA

Talasari	50
Sangameshwar	24
Mumbai(Colaba)	21
Shriwardhan	20
Mumbai(Santacruz)	19
Mhasla	19
Alibag	17
Vikramgad	16
Harnai	15
Sudhagad	15
Chiplun	14
Roha	14
Murud	14
Uran	13
Guhagarh	13
Dapoli	13
Ratnagiri	13
Dahanu	12
Rajapur	12
Bhira	12
Jawhar	12
Bhiwandi	11
Vada	11
Panvel	10
Mangaon	10
Poladpur	10
Khalapur	10
Tala	9
Palghar	9
Thane	9
Mandangad	9
Mahad	9
Pen	9
Khed	9
Malvan	8
Devgad	7
Matheran	7
Kalyan	7
Lanja	7
Mokheda	6
Ulhasnagar	6
Shahapur	5
Ambernath	5
Karjat	4
Kudal	4
Canacona	4
Mapusa	3
Dabolim N.A.S.	3
Murbad	3
Sawantwadi	3
Valpoi	3
Kankavli	3
Margao	2
Dodamarg	2
Vengurla	2
Marmugao	2
Panjim	2
Sanguem	1

MADHYA MAHARASHTRA

Gaganbawada	13
Mahabaleshwar	11
Bodwad	7
Erandol	6
Jalgaon	4
Shahuwadi	3
Radhanagari	3
Parola	2
Chopda	2
Pachora	2
Amalner	2
Ajra	2
Pandharpur	2
Akalkot	2
Chandgad	1
Yaval	1
Sangola	1
Edalabad	1
Patan	1
Jamner	1
Mohol	1
Pune City	1
Navapur	1
Bhadgaon	1
Gargoti	1
Shirala	1
Sholapur	1

MARATHAWADA

Bhokar	5
Degloor	2
Latur	2
Umarga	2
Billoli	2
Tuljapur	2
Kallamnuri	2
Kannad	2
Patoda	1
Ghansawangi	1
Renapur	1
Guorai	1
Sengaon	1
Kinwat	1
Chakur	1
Hingoli	1
Basmat	1
Umari	1
Nilanga	1
Manjlegaon	1
Jalna	1

VIDARBHA

Mahagaon	6
Hinganghat	6
Nandgaonkazi	4
Ralegaon	3
Sironcha	3
Amraoti	3
Chikhalda	3
Umerkhed	3
Warora	3
Risod	2
Chandur Bazar	2
Kharangha	1
Gondpipri	1
Nagbhir	1
Morsi	1
Mul	1
Maregaon	1
Pauni	1

COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH

Kaikalur	9
Tanuku	8
Prakasan Barrage	7
Salur	7
Paleru Bridge	5
Koderu	3
Pathapatnam	3
Tiruvuru	3
Vijayawada A.P.	3
Paderu	2
Chintalapudi	2
Nandigama	2
Eluru	1
Gajapathinagaram	1
Srungavarapukota	1
Narsapuram	1
Araku valley	1
Narsipatnam	1
Chintapalli	1
Tadepalligudem	1
Gudivada	1
Vijayanagaram	1
Mangalgiri	1
Guntur	1

TELANGANA

Parkal	13
Nizamasagar	13
Mulug	12
Mahbubnagar	10
Hanamkonda	10
Medak	9
Vikarabad	9
Kaleswaram	8
Khammam	8
Narayankhed	7
Tandur	7
Jangaon	7
Mahbubabad	6
Bodhan	6
Kodangal	6
Narsampet	6
Mancherial	5
Pargi	5
Ramayampet	5
Jurala Proj.	4
Boath	4
Ramgundam	4
Mudhole	4
Shadnagar	4
Asifabad	3
Suryapet	3
Makthal	3
Sangareddi	3
Luxettipet	2
Sirpur	2
Banswada	2
Alampur	2
Mednoor	2
Chevella	2
Chinnoor	1
Miryalguda	1
Wanaparthi	1
Nirmal	1
Navipet	1
Nagarjunsagar	1

RAYALASEEMA

Manthralayam	5
Allagadda	3
Kamalapuram	2
Jammalamadugu	1
Owk	1
Tadpatri	1
Maddanur	1
Yemmiganur	1
Holalagunda	1
Alur	1
Gooty	1
Proddatur	1

TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY

Naduvattam	1

COASTAL KARNATAKA

Karwar	7
Koondapur	4
Honavar	4
Kollur	4
Kota	4
Kadra	3
Kumta	3
Gokarna	3
Dharmasthala	3
Subramanya	3
Panambur Obsy	3
Ankola	3
Bhatkal	3
Manki	2
Shirali	2
Sulya	2
Mulki	2
Karkala	2
Bantwal	2
Bajpe Obsy	2
Siddapura	1
Gorsoppa	1
Puttur HMS	1
Mani	1
Yellapur	1
Manchikere	1

NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA

Chittapur	10
Kakkeri	9
Chincholi	9
Sedam	9
Bimalkhed	4
Yadrami	3
Sindhanoor	3
Aland	3
Hungund	2
Bidar	2
Kembhav	2
Gilbarga PTO	2
Khajuri	2
Maski	2
Narayanpur HMS	2
Aurad	2
Manthala	1
Nalwatwad	1
Raichur PTO	1
Kalghatgi	1
Talikote	1
Jeewargi	1
Devara Hippargi	1
Nelogi	1
Hayyal	1
Londa	1
Basawakalyan	1
Tavaregere	1

SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA

Bhagamandala	4
Ammathy	4
Madikeri PTO	4
Agumbe emo	4
Napoklu	3
Sringeri HMS	3
Hosanagar	2
Jayapura	2
Virajpet	2
Harangi	1
Sarguru	1
Koppa	1
Chintamani PTO	1
Poonampet PWD	1
Somwarpet T.O.	1
Kottigehara	1
Chikmagalur PTO	1
Tondebhavi	1
Balehonur	1
Linganamakki HMS	1
Shivani	1
Hoskote	1
Saklespura	1

KERALA

Kudulu	4
Kozhikode	4
Karipur AP	3
Perinthalmanna	3
Angadippuram	3
Ottappalam	2
Kannur	2
Munnar	2
Kochi AP	1
Piravom	1
Kollengode	1

Update time = Sun Jul 31 8:00:04 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake occurred in the Honshu area of Japan on the 30th of July 2011:

6.4

2011/07/30 18:53:52

36.966

141.058

43.5

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Inevitable on account of the hotspots surrounding the centre of gravity of the water masses behind dams in the India China Region: The hotspots in North East Japan have vanished at and after the earthquake.

A hotspot was prominent in the Hokkaido Region but vanished after the quake at Hokkaido:

4.5

2011/07/31 05:20:26

41.082

141.792

59.3

HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION

Update time = Fri Jul 29 9:00:05 UTC 2011

As predicted on July 26th a strong earthquake occurred South of the Fiji Isles in the Pacific Ring of Fire:

6.7

2011/07/29 07:42:23

-23.651

179.822

521.7

SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS

It is a deep quake and hell is awaited in the next weeks in the Pacific Region depending on the drive the intensity of rain gives the forcing function namely the surges in the daily dam contents:

See the frequency of major quakes at:

http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/

The average picture or the central tendency is that with dam surges of 5 BCM and above occurring every ten days (6 to 13 days), earthquakes of magnitude 6 MM and above occur every three days and those of magnitude 7 MM and over occur every 22 days(17 to 28 days). The ranges are at a confidence level of 95%. This is for the 30 Indian dams alone.

Update time = Thu Jul 28 14:20:05 UTC 2011

The global number of hotspots have doubled from 1300 hrs utc to 1400 hrs utc to

13730. The world is under the grip of the surges in dam contents in the India China Korea Philippines Japan region.

A lone hotspot in Central Alaska on 26 Jul 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 1
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

vanished on 27th July and on 28 July a moderate quake struck Central Alaska:

5.3

2011/07/28 14:00:00

62.045

-151.109

65.5

CENTRAL ALASKA

Thereafter the lone hotspot vanished from Central Alaska.

Update time = Thu Jul 28 10:00:04 UTC 2011

Near Fukushima a moderate earthquake occurred:

5.5

2011/07/28 09:01:38

40.374

143.254

25.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

As revealed by the Web fire Mapper

http://firefly.geog.umd.edu/firemap/

hotspot maps one for 27th July and the other for 28 July(12h utc) before the quake there were hotspots in Northern Japan at Fukushima and afterwards they vanished:

Total number of fires detected : 3
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

But in North Island of New Zealand where there were no hotspots on 27th July hotspots occurred on 28th July 2011 after the moderate quake in North Japan:

Total number of fires detected : 2
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Tue Jul 26 14:24:13 UTC 2011

The hotspots in North Japan and South Japan have almost completely vanished on 26 Jul 2011 as at this time. Also the hotspot in South Island New Zealand which was prominent an hour ago has also vanished. Thus a strong or a major earthquake is imminent in one of these regions in the next days.

Update time = Mon Jul 25 4:22:26 UTC 2011

As predicted on July 23 2011 strong earthquakes have occurred in the Pacific Ring of Fire triggered by dams:

6.2

2011/07/25 00:50:51

-3.213

150.672

34.5

NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

6.2

2011/07/24 18:51:25

37.758

141.540

35.6

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

However on account of the heavy rains forecast in the India Region and possibly also in the China Region, further strong or major earthquakes in the Japan-Indonesia New Zealand Regions are predicted in the coming weeks. Also in the West coast of South America such a quake is probable given the intensity of the hotspots and dam content changes. The 60-80 longitude band is also a strong candidate for the same reasons.

Update time = Sat Jul 23 14:24:41 UTC 2011

The number of hotspots are a maximum in the following region as of this time:

Total number of fires detected : 6830
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

See the map of the Web Fire Mapper:

Earthquakes have occurred just now at locations which suggest an earthquake in the New Zealand area or in the Japan Region, a major or a strong one:

4.9	2011/07/23 13:54:19	10.656	-85.844	62.1	COSTA RICA
MAP	4.7	2011/07/23 12:53:03	3.810	-82.626	10.0	SOUTH OF PANAMA

4.9

2011/07/23 14:24:43

-7.385

128.440

153.0

KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA

The hotspots are also intense in the West african Region:

Total number of fires detected : 3130
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

This suggests that a major or a strong earthquake in the -80 to -60 or in the 60 to 80 longitude band. The unprecedented heat waves in the US are area sign that such an event may occur in the East Coast region.
Depending upon the intensity of rain the earthquakes predicted are to occur in the next weeks.

The strong earthquakes that have occured so far from the last update on 13 July 2011 are:

6.4

2011/07/23 04:34:24

38.932

141.907

38.6

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.0

2011/07/22 06:56:40

-20.229

-178.530

600.6

FIJI REGION

6.0

2011/07/20 22:05:00

-10.311

162.152

22.5

SOLOMON ISLANDS

6.1

2011/07/19 19:35:43

40.151

71.426

16.0

KYRGYZSTAN

2011/07/16 19:59:13

54.84N

161.30W

6.1

ALASKA PENINSULA

2011/07/16 00:26:12

33.77S

71.82W

6.0

OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE

2011/07/15 13:26:02

60.75S

23.52W

6.1

SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

2011/07/11 20:47:04

9.50N

122.21E

6.4

NEGROS, PHILIPPINES

Except the earthquakes at Kyrgistan and South Sandwich Isles Region the rest are all on the Pacific Rim Region!

Update time = Wed Jul 13 7:22:08 UTC 2011

The number of hotspots are a maximum at the Fukushima Daichi Region(37.7607,140.4734):See Web Fire Mapper for 7hrs UTC:

See the maximum number of hotspots from the tables below for the Japanese Isles:

Total number of fires detected : 23
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 104
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 153
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 99
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 91
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 48
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The latest major earthquake near Fukushima Daichi occurred at:

7.0

2011/07/10 00:57:13

38.040

143.287

23.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

This is a foreboding of major or great earthquake in the coming weeks in the Japan Region.

Update time = Tue Jul 12 6:39:12 UTC 2011

As predicted at 1600 hrs UTC on July 11 2011, another strong earthquake occurred in the Pacific Ring of Fire on July 11:

6.4

2011/07/11 20:47:05

9.504

122.211

20.1

NEGROS, PHILIPPINES

I must emphasise that the Japanese Islands are experiencing the most intense hotspots this season:

For example see NE Japan:

Total number of fires detected : 106
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The intensity of the entire Japanese Islands is to be noted with great alarm:

A major or a great earthquake is imminent in the Pacific Ring of Fire in the coming days, especially in the longitude band spanned by the Japanese Isles.

Update time = Mon Jul 11 16:00:01 UTC 2011

As predicted on June 29 2011, earthquakes have occurred as follow in the Pacific Ring of Fire on account of huge surges in the dam contents:

7.0

2011/07/10 00:57:13

38.040

143.287

18.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.0

2011/07/07 09:10:52

-28.941

-176.732

19.9

KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION

7.6

2011/07/06 19:03:17

-29.312

-176.204

20.0

KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION

And I have never seen Japan covered with so many hotspots before:

With hotspot intensity so great in the southern part of Africa caused by the dam content surges we can expect further major or strong earthquakes in the coming days in the Pacific Rim.

Update time = Wed Jun 29 15:49:27 UTC 2011

There has been heavy rainfall in the India China Region as witnessed by satellite pictures of clouds and time series of daily rainfall as exemplified below:

Under the influence of this rainfall there were surges in daily dam contents in this region as exemplified by the intense hotspot clusters in the longitudes spanned by the Los Alamos Region in New Mexico, South peninsular region of Africa, Eastern Turkey, Hotspot cluster in Japan Region and North Australia and Eastern China stresses in rocks develop in these regions leading to rockmelt:

On account of the above influences leading to enormous friction at faults or other fortutiously located regions offering fulcrum to surges of bending stresses, a strong to a major earthquake is predicted in the above mentioned regions or in the New Zealand region in the coming days.

Since the last update on June 24 2011 the following strong earthquakes have occurred:

6.4

2011/06/26 12:16:39

-2.391

136.663

20.6

NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

This is in the Pacific Ring of Fire.

Update time = Fri Jun 24 12:02:27 UTC 2011

There have been two strong earthquakes at Santa Cruz Islands on the Pacific Ring of Fire:

6.3

2011/06/24 06:33:07

-10.919

165.945

62.6

SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

6.1

2011/06/21 02:04:16

-11.510

165.548

13.5

SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

Update time = Fri Jun 24 5:09:25 UTC 2011

An enormous spike in the dam contents in the India China region occurred as inferred from satellite pictures of the rain clouds and the time series of the monsoon daily rainfall across India till 23 June 2011:

As predicted at Update time = Sat Jun 18 16:03:00 UTC 2011, a major earthquake occurred in the Pacific Ring of Fire, this time in the North:

7.2

2011/06/24 03:09:40

52.008

-171.859

62.6

FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA

Note that a strong earthquake had struck South Island of New Zealand previously:

See Update under June 16 2011 below. This Alaskan quake is in the shadow region to that.

Update time = Thu Jun 23 5:00:00 UTC 2011

As predicted in the Update for 18th June 2011, a strong earthquake struck off Honshu:

6.7

2011/06/22 21:50:48

39.980

142.247

32.0

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

The geologic time scale events are happening in seconds:

See http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com

With the surges of changes in hourly dam contents with the onset of the rainy season we will see more serious events this monsoon.

Update time = Wed Jun 22 14:17:09 UTC 2011

Sudden increase in the number of hotspots in the African Region:

Something brewing in the 60-80 longitude band and related areas:

Total number of fires detected : 6958
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Tue Jun 21 8:00:02 UTC 2011

Strong earthquakes in the predicted longitude bands(prediction on 18 June below):

6.1

2011/06/21 02:04:16

-11.510

165.548

13.5

SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

6.5

2011/06/20 16:36:01

-21.681

-68.187

127.1

ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

Update time = Sat Jun 18 16:03:00 UTC 2011

There has been an extremely intense hotspot swarm in Africa at this time of update:

Total number of fires detected : 8314
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 4974
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

This is on account of the very heavy rainfall in the India China Region:

Thus there has been a huge surge of dam contents today. Thus in the longitude band 0-20 or -20 to 0 or 60 to 80 or -80 to -60 or 100 to 120 or -120 to -100 or 120 to 140 or -140 to -120 or 150 to 170 or -170 to -150, a major earthquake may occur in the coming days. The hotspot intensity is a maximum around the longitude 20 and hence the probability of a major quake in the connected longitude bands 60 to 80 or -80 to -60 is high. The chronic occurrence of quakes also makes the 140-160 longitude band a highly probable candidate for the occurrence of the major quake. This is because the hotspot intensity is also very high in the 20 to 40 longitude band.

Update time = Thu Jun 16 5:37:05 UTC 2011

As predicted a 6.6 MM magnitude earthquake has occurred today in the 140-160 longitude band area:

6.6

2011/06/16 00:03:37

-5.994

151.095

21.5

NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Those who had seen the Web Fire Mapper of yesterday might have noticed the ominously blank hotspot region in this quake area,which was however prominent on the 14th and remains vanished on the 16th at this updating time.

The other strong earthquakes which have occurred since the commencement of the monsoon and which are due to the surges in dam contents are as follow:

6.4

2011/06/13 14:31:22

2.530

126.446

51.6

MOLUCCA SEA

6.0

2011/06/13 02:20:51

-43.580

172.740

9.0

SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND

Update time = Wed Jun 15 15:18:45 UTC 2011

An intense hotspot area has developed in Africa:

Total number of fires detected : 6286
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 4994
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the influence of this huge friction at these longitude bands, a major or strong earthquake may occur in the longitude band 0 to 20 or -20 to 0 or 60 to 80 or -80 to -60 or 100 to 120 or -120 to -100 or or 20 to 40 or -40 to -20 or 140 to 160 or -160 to -140 or 120 to 140 or -140 to 120 in the coming days. As postulated below a great earthquake may also occur. For the likely latitude corresponding to each of these longitude bands at which the quake may occur see Table 3 under the following Update:Update time = Sun May 15 5:28:23 UTC 2011.

Update time = Sun Jun 12 11:52:07 UTC 2011

A great earthquake is expected between June 12 2011 to August 26 2011, in other words in the monsoon. Clusters of three great earthquakes have occurred in the same hydrological year in the past. Great earthquakes have occurred close together in the past in the 140-160 longitude band. In the Fukushima Region major/great earthquakes which were also monthly peak magnitude quakes have occurred 8 times in the past between 1973 to the present, of the 28 times monthly peak magnitude earthquakes have occurred in the longitude band 140-160 and latitude band 30-50, during this period. The mean of the monthly peak magnitude earthquake in the 140-160 longitude band and latitude band 30 to 50 is Lat 41.5,Long 145.6,Magnitude 8.1 MM and depth 35km. The average deviation from the mean gives a range of Lat 38.7, Long 142.4, Magnitude 8.1 MM, depth 21 km to Lat 44.4, Long 148.7, Magnitude 8.4 MM and depth of 50 km.

Table 1P lists the data for the above study(Hydrological Years 1973 to 2010):

Update time = Wed Jun 8 15:51:21 UTC 2011

There is an intense hotspot cluster in East China at 16 hrs utc:

Total number of fires detected : 2451
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the influence of these we may expect strong to major earthquake in the coming days around longitude 116(100-120) or -116(-120 to -100) or 26(20 to 40) or -26(-40 to -20) or 64(60-80) or -64(-80 to -60) or 154(140-160) or -154(-160 to -140). And since the hotspots in Africa are still intense, we may expect such earthquakes in the longitude bands 80 to 100 or -100 to 80.

Update time = Fri Jun 3 14:23:08 UTC 2011

There is a huge deficit of hotspots on the web fire mapper for 3 Jun 11 from 13h utc to 14h utc -13h-4681 hs and 14h- 9809 hs. The unaccounted for hotspots must have therefore be in the sea floor perhaps off Japan or off South Island New Zealand. It might also be in the sea off Southwestern Iran or below or above Western Turkey. Or off Mexico or off Central America or off the coast of Chile.

As ths was being written three quakes occurred:

5.1	2011/06/03 14:47:15	-20.217	168.268	45.6	LOYALTY ISLANDS
MAP	5.0	2011/06/03 14:36:56	-55.642	-25.437	54.0	SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
MAP	4.6	2011/06/03 14:21:25	17.966	-95.009	131.3	VERACRUZ, MEXICO

Update time = Fri Jun 3 7:00:05 UTC 2011

Changes of geological magnitude are occurring in an instant, rivaling the effects of ‘tectonic plate forces’. See http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com

A strong earthquake has occurred off the East Coast of Honshu:

6.3

2011/06/03 00:05:04

37.294

143.912

31.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Note that this has happened in the 140 to 160 longitude band which was one of the longitude bands where the quake was expected, albeit a major one. Since the hotspots in Africa are still intense we should expect further developments in the coming days. We may expect damage causing magnitude earthquakes to occur also at 20 to 40, -100 to -80 and 80 to 100 longitude bands apart from the bands requiring monitoring mentioned under Update time June 2 2011 below.

Update time = Thu Jun 2 15:03:20 UTC 2011

There is an intense build up of hotspots in Africa:

Total number of fires detected : 4132
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the influence of this enormous build up because of dam surges, a major earthquake may be expected in one of the longitude bands 0-20 or -20 to 0 or 60-80 or -80 to -60 or 100-120 or -120 to -100 or 140-160 or -160 to -140 or 120-140 or -140 to -120. The 100-120 or 120-140 or 140-160 band or in the New Zealand region may be the most likely locations. The likely latitude may be picked up from Table 3 Historical Monthly Mean of PMQ Parameters( scroll down to the table).

Update time = Wed Jun 1 14:09:28 UTC 2011

A major water head surge of 91.3 km/sec occurred in India on 31 May 2011.

As a result a strong earthquake occurred at Bio Bio Chile:

6.2

2011/06/01 12:55:22

-37.545

-73.663

15.1

OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE

This occurred on account of the intense hotspots in Africa and in the Bio Bio region of Chile caused by the dam surge:

See the hotspots in the Bio Bio Region:

Total number of fires detected : 28
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The intense hotspots in the Bio Bio Region have vanished on 1 June 2011. But remain in Africa and have intensified further:

The hotspots in the Africa Region on 31 May 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 302
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

These hotspots have become more intense on 1 June 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 1042
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Tue May 31 13:25:13 UTC 2011

The Pacific Ring Resonance Dance of the Dams and the Great Earthquakes from 1994

Great earthquakes in the same hydrological year

Table TGE shows the frequency of great earthquakes in the hydrological years detailed in the table:

https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUjoL_X6Qzvq5PFdH_uqs50paTwICNsbdU33hGLaVjPA55QphF7Boo7mV43zXQdeR43kAFNloRXd-APmfxSQqGLuuN674Tl7MmbRr4-ORlUMn8EEfF70Y35QBDzNt4eRFy-Bp8Fg/s1600-h/9June07TGEimage002.gif

Most recently we have had the Samoa Islands Earthquake accompanied by a tsunami which killed a number of people. And then the Maule, Chile earthquake:

And on 11 March 2011 we had the great earthquake off Honshu Island:

So based on past history of great earthquakes we should expect great earthquakes together within a 95% confidence upper limit of 126 days from March 11 2011 or by 15 July 2011. The duration from the maximum change in reservoir contents till the occurrence of the great quake on 11 March 2011 which is from 24th September 2010 to 11th March 2011 is 168 days. According to this the great quake would occur by August 26 2011. Thus the next great earthquake would occur in the hydrological year 2011 to 2012 between 15th July 2011 to 26th August 2011. Taking the lower 95% confidence limit the range of dates becomes 12 June 2011 to 26th August 2011. Of the five instances in which the great earthquakes have occured together, on three occasions they have occurred close to each other. Not only close together but all of them are on the Pacific Ring of Fire or connected to it. Eight of these quakes are in the longitude band spanned by Japan in the Japanese Region. See the image below of the earthquakes that have occurred 8 to 30 days away from 2 June 2011.

The reason for this prediction is scientific.

See http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/

On 24th September 2011 and September 25th 2011 dam contents in 30 Indian dams as detailed in the above URL occurred causing water pressure heads to change at the rate of -738 km/sec and 725 km/sec respectively. This resulted in the great earthquake on March 11 2011 of 9.0 MM magnitude, 168 days later. On April 7 2011 and April 8 2011 water pressure head changes of 1171 km/sec and -1204 km/sec occurred. Thus the expectation above that a great quake would occur between 12 June 2011 and 26 August 2011.

Changes of geological magnitude are occurring in an instant, rivaling the effects of ‘tectonic plate forces’. See http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com

Update time = Mon May 30 14:00:01 UTC 2011

Landslide and floods are occurring in Fukushima.

The typhoon has brought heavy rain to Fukushima, prompting fears that run-off water may wash away radioactive materials into the Pacific. Plant operator Tepco has been pouring synthetic resins over the complex to prevent radioactive deposits from being swept away. –NZ Herald

At Taal Lake in Talisay,Batanga, Manila, Philippines(Latitude = 13.9750, Longitude = 121.0220 ) millions of fish(800 tons) have died in fish farms on 29th May 2011.There has been enormous heat production due to friction caused by water moments exerted by enormous forces generated at the centre of gravity of dams in China and other dams in the area due to the heavy rains in May 2011 in the longitude band 120 to 140 as witnessed by heat islands in Australia and East Russia.This friction however reduced drastically from that corresponding to 1036 hotspots on 28th May 2011 in East Russia to just 56 on 29th and vanished completely on the 30th. This sudden shock is seen in this time series of the alternating low and high hotspot numbers for East Russia:25 May 2011 683,26May 2011 1176, 27th May 2011 518,28 May 1036 and 29th May 65 and 30th May zero.The corresponding figures for North Australia are 277,383,483,74,437 and 163. The Tropical Supertyphoon Songda was also passing through the region during this period.Of course prior to all this was the fact that radioactive particles may have been carried by the Gulf Stream into the area from Fukushima-example radioactive Iodine 131 was found in a sample of fish from the wholesale market in Hong Kong(Iodine 131 has 8 day half life) on 28th May 2011, at a distance of some 3000 km away from Fukushima. These frictional heat changes and radioactive particle ingestion in sudden surges may have caused shock to the fish in the form of sudden changes in oxygen availability and damage to organs by internal radioactive explosions(See http://plutoniumaradiumabillionpeoplehitdna.blogspot.com/2007/12/stop-nuclear-energy-programmes.html) . We are expecting an earthquake in this longitude band, of damage causing magnitude in the coming days, if there is a sudden spike in reservoir contents in the area.

A similar phenomenon happened in the Pacific when 100 whales were found dead in Mason Bay, New Zealand on 20th February 2011 and the next day a devastating 6.1 MM magnitude quake struck near Christchurch, killing 166 people and damaging structures . See report for February 21 2011 below by scrolling down .

Update time = Fri May 27 9:23:56 UTC 2011

The super typhoon SONGDA is pointing straight at the hotspots in China and as it moves north east points at the East Russian hotspot island. This is an indication that a major earthquake is due in the Honshu region by 29 to 30 May 2011:

See the precedents at

http://predictingquakes.blogspot.com/2006/08/possible-dates-of-occurrence-of-major.html

Update time = Thu May 26 13:19:19 UTC 2011

The intense build up of hotspots in East Russia this year reflects the rainfall in May 2011 in China and the consequent filling up of the reservoirs. Thus see how the number of hotspots in East Russia increased in May 2011:

1 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 5
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

2 May 2011

Number of hotspots Zero

3 May 2011

Number of hotspots Zero

4 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 2
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

5 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 5
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

6 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 13
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

7 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 34
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

8 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 301
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

9 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 295
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

10 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 625
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

11 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 302
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

12 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 282
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

13 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 40
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

14 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 134
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

15 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 540
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

16 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 1233
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

17 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 135
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

18 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 183
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

19 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 608
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

20 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 566
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

21 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 430
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

22 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 1315
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

23 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 1524
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

24 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 1276
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

25 May 2011

Total number of fires detected : 672
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Thus when the rainfall in China further on intensifies as measured by the number of hotspots in East Russia, the reservoir content abruptly changes resulting in an earthquake as indicated below in the update for 24 May 2011. The rainfall season in China is from May to August. We must be wary of a great earthquake in July to September because of the monsoon fury aided by giant dams like the Three Gorges (China) and the Supa(India) dams.

Update time = Tue May 24 5:02:41 UTC 2011

There is an intense build up more than during the last update on 22 May 2011 in East Russia(past 48 hrs, 22 to 24 May 2011):

Total number of fires detected : 3801
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the influence of this stress build up due to a burst of daily change in dam contents a major or a strong earthquake may occur around the 130 longitude band or around -130 longitude or around 50 or -50 longitude or around 40 or -40 longitude or around 140 or -140 longitude in the coming days.

Update time = Sun May 22 14:26:15 UTC 2011

An intense hotspot island has developed in East Russia and in North Australia:

Total number of fires detected : 2307
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1034
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the influence of these mechanisms of stress build up, a strong or major earthquake is expected in the 125 to 145 longitude band or in the corresponding shadow area or in the 55 or -55 longitude neighbourhood or in the 35 or -35 longitude neighbourhood in the coming days. Note this strong hotspot set has been persisting for quite some days now.

Update time = Tue May 17 14:00:03 UTC 2011

An intense hotspot density area has been observed in Alberta, Canada:

Total number of fires detected : 2245
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under this influence, strong to major earthquakes may be expected in the longitude bands around -111,111, -21, 21, 69,-69, 159,-159 in the coming days.
The most likely epicenters in these bands are to be found from Table 3 below.

Update time = Tue May 17 9:00:09 UTC 2011

An intense build up of hotspots has been observed in East Russia:

Total number of fires detected : 1906
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under this condition brought about by the rubbing of the earth at this location and at related locations as defined by the hotspot densities, we may expect a strong or a major earthquake in the longitude area 130 or around 50 or around 140 or around the area defined by the longitude -130 or -50 or -140 or 40 or -40 in the coming days.

Update time = Mon May 16 4:53:12 UTC 2011

As per the swarm of predictions under the 15th May 2011,52823 UTC update below another strong shallow earthquake has occurred this time as below:

6.5

2011/05/15 18:37:11

-6.157

154.446

43.2

BOUGAINVILLE REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

This is also close to the historical mean of the peak magnitude earthquakes around this epicentre as in Table 3 below.

See how the intense hotspots in the Rift Valley Region have done the vanishing trick on the 15th May 2011:

Update time = Sun May 15 13:47:04 UTC 2011

As per the swarm of predictions, a strong earthquake has occurred in the -25 longitude area and close enough to the historical monthly peak magnitude mean as in Table 3 below.

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	6.0	2011/05/15 13:08:13	0.486	-25.599	9.9	CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Update time = Sun May 15 5:28:23 UTC 2011

The most intense number of hotspots is in the Rift Valley Area:

Total number of fires detected : 2228
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Under the stress induced by the surge in dam contents as shown by this intensity a strong or a major earthquake is expected in the 25 or 115 or -25 or -115 or 65 or -65 or 155 or -155 longitude band in the coming weeks. To get at the most likely latitude at these longitudes refer Table 3 Historical Monthly Mean of PMQ Parameters below:

Since the last update on May 8, four strong earthquakes have occurred in line with the hot spots observed in the past week:

6.2	2011/05/13 23:35:53	37.383	141.405	37.6	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	6.0	2011/05/13 22:47:55	10.105	-84.261	70.0	COSTA RICA

6.8

2011/05/10 08:55:10

-20.252

168.273

14.9

LOYALTY ISLANDS

6.3

2011/05/09 18:54:43

-56.612

147.837

1.0

WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND

Of these earthquakes, the 6.8 MM earthquake at Loyalty Isles had a priliminary magnitude of 7.1 MM according to USGS and the IMD(India Meterological Department) gives it a magnitude of 7.0 MM.

Update time = Sun May 8 14:22:13 UTC 2011

The web fire mapper for 14hrs UTC on 8 May 2011 shows hotspots as follows:

The hotspots are intense in South Mexico, Central America, West Equatorial Africa, the Rift Valley Region, Central and East Russia, Pakistan, India, Central and East China. A strong or a major earthquake is expected under the influence of dam surges which are causing these hotspots in one of these longitude bands in the coming weeks: the longitude band spanned by Southern Mexico and Central America(which includes the Mississippi Region), the longitude band spanned by the Rift Valley(which includes Greece and Turkey), the India Pakistan Region, East Russia, Central and East China as well as North East China, Japan and Indonesia. The most intense hotspots are in the Rift valley and East Russia. Thus we may give a HIGHER PROBABILITY OF occurrence of an earthquake in the regions spanned by these longitude bands.

Update time = Thu May 5 15:51:02 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake has hit the Honshu Region:

6.1

2011/05/05 14:58:21

38.173

144.040

24.2

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Thu May 5 14:07:16 UTC 2011

The hotspot map shows that the Rift Valley Region and the 120 to 140 longitude band have a high number of hotspots:

Thus we may expect strong to major peak magnitude earthquake in the longitude band spanned by the Rift Valley and associated regions -Pakistan and India: Notice heavy number of hotspots above these regions. It may otherwise happen in the 100-120-140 longitude band- East Russia or North East China or Japan(possibly Kobe region) or in the Indonesian region or even in the New Zealand region.

Update time = Tue May 3 12:35:23 UTC 2011

The hotspots for 13hrs UTC on 3 May 2011(past 48 hours) is interesting:

It reveals the intense hotspots in Mexico and Central America, Equatorial West Africa, in Asian Russia -Central and East Russia, East Pakistan and adjacent India Region, the Nepal Himalyas and Australia. But most intriguing is the hotspot concentration in North West UK including Ireland:

Total number of fires detected : 386
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 379
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

The average picture for May 2011 is a peak magnitude earthquake of magnitude 7.2 to 7.7 MM between 13th to 20th May.

Update time = Sun May 1 6:20:24 UTC 2011

A strong earthquake took place South of Panama under the influence of an intense cluster of hot spots in Mexico and Central America:

6.0

2011/04/30 08:19:17

6.878

-82.287

9.9

SOUTH OF PANAMA

A shot of the hotspots around the world at 5hrs UTC on 1 May 2011 follows:

These intense hotspots in South Mexico and Central America have driven the set of tornados across the South of the USA killing more than 300 people and destroying homes and infrastructure. These hot spots like others causing earthquakes have been caused by daily changes in reservoir contents across the world in heavily dammed regions: Look at the signature:

Total number of fires detected : 1309
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1383
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Clearly the dams are implicated in the areas spanned by North America, Central america and in the shadow regions of these longitudes: China and also India as shown by the hotspots in the map. West Africa is also very glaring and Central Africa(Rift Valley Region). See the intense hotspots in North Asia and East Russia and Australia. These obviously suggest the all encompassing effects of dam surges as glaringly exposed by zooming across a small but significant number of dams as given in

http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com

Update time = Sat Apr 23 11:32:09 UTC 2011

Five strong earthquakes, 3 of them near Fukushima is a strong indication of an imminent major or great earthquake:

6.0

2011/04/23 10:12:49

39.164

142.892

38.9

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.9

2011/04/23 04:16:55

-10.349

161.233

81.6

SOLOMON ISLANDS

6.1

2011/04/21 13:37:04

35.617

140.452

42.9

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.0

2011/04/21 01:54:41

40.306

143.629

7.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.6

2011/04/18 13:03:03

-34.349

179.854

90.7

SOUTH OF THE KERMADEC ISLANDS

The 1200 hrs UTC hotspot picture is shown below:

There are five hotspot clusters: one above Turkey in Ukraine region, another in East Russia above Eastern Himalayas, above Myanmar and Indonesia, another on the border between India and Nepal -Himalayas, another in South Myanmar and one in East China.

Update time = Thu Apr 21 5:00:02 UTC 2011

The Alaskan and neighbouring Canadian hotspots have vanished on 20th April 2011 itself as shown by the screenshot of the Web Fire Mapper for 24hrs on 20th April 2011! And a 6MM earthquake has again occurred in the Honshu Region:

6.0

2011/04/21 01:54:41

40.306

143.629

7.0

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Wed Apr 20 10:00:03 UTC 2011

The number of hotspots have suddenly increased in Southeastern Alaska at the Ring of Fire:

Total number of fires detected : 3984
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

And in the Yukon Territory, Canada:

Total number of fires detected : 2084
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Also in the West Coast of Canada:

Total number of fires detected : 440
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1365
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 262
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

And above the north east tip of USA:

Total number of fires detected : 103
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Above Yosemite National Park:

Total number of fires detected : 1412
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Also in the respective shadow regions the number of hotspots are intense but more than order of magnitude lower.

Thus a major earthquake or greater is to take place in one of these regions in the coming weeks: Alaska,Yukon territory, North East tip of USA or in the China, Japan, Eastern Russia Region and probably in Indonesia or the Andamans or in the Himalayas, including the Eastern Bend of the HImalayas.

See the hotspot map at 0900 hrs UTC on 20 April 2011:

Update time = Wed Apr 13 16:36:20 UTC 2011

At the present rate of stress build up on account of daily dam content surges, a great earthquake(Magnitude 8.5 or greater) may occur weeks from now. Signals as to where it may occur are as of now Japan Region or anywhere on this longitude band spanned by Japan(Philippines or Indonesia) or Myanmar or Vietnam-Laos Region, or in South America or New Zealand. Hotspots and Dam Surges require close watch in the coming days to weeks. Note that the Sagaing fault or the Eastern Bend of the Himalayas or China,like Sichuan fall in this band.

Update time = Tue Apr 12 17:00:11 UTC 2011

An intense hotspot area has developed at 1700 hrs utc at the Eastern Himalayan bend and Myanmar region:

Total number of fires detected : 2298
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Depending upon the worldwide surge in dam contents hereafter, a strong to major earthquake may occur in the coming days. This may occur in the Japan region, the Indonesia region, the Myanmar spanning longitude band or in the shadow region corresponding to Myanmar or in New Zealand region or in the -10 to 10 longitude band as revealed by the hotspot cluster there or in the 70 to 85 longitude band or in the - 85 to -70 longitude band:

Total number of fires detected : 1223
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Mon Apr 11 9:15:44 UTC 2011

The East Honshu quake magnitude has been revised downward to 6.6 MM and shallower by 3.1 km:

6.6

2011/04/11 08:16:13

37.007

140.477

10.0

EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

The hotspots on 10th Apr 2011 in Japan were about 9 degrees west of the longitude of the quake. The hotspots vanished on the 11th Apr 11 and there were no hotspots detected in Japan at 91544 utc on the 11th of April 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 3
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Note that on the Himalayan bend in the East at the top the hotspot density is sparse on 10th Apr 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 24
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Note the intensity of the hotspots on the bend at 915 on 11th April 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 917
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

See also the picture above for the 11th Apr for the hotspots.

Since the grip on the fulcrum in Japan was released by the quake the water moment arm bending moment was suddenly shifted and the grip became intense by a factor 40 on the Himalayan Eastern bend near the Sagaing Fault! More on this time line after getting data for yesterday and today from the web fire mapper.

The 6.6 MM quake means we should await a major or great quake in the coming days, when the next kick in surge in dam contents occurs. For relative frequencies of dam and quake surges see http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/

Update time = Mon Apr 11 8:27:10 UTC 2011

A major and shallow earthquake has occurred:

7.1

2011/04/11 08:16:13

37.007

140.477

13.1

EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

This was as expected in the Japan Region after the mammoth surge in pressure at the centre of gravity of Indian dams on the 7th of April as noted below.

Update time = Sat Apr 9 13:09:32 UTC 2011

The northern bend of the Himalayas and the Sagaing fault in the Myanmar Region has an intense clump of hotspots:Very ominous of a major earthquake, the 6.1 Kyushu earthquake just now notwithstanding.

Total number of fires detected : 2414
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Because of the heavy surge in dam contents on the 7th and today, we can expect a major or a great earthquake in days to weeks, probably in the Japan area which has an acute allergic reaction to the dam surges with the series of earthquakes hitting the region. Indonesia can also be a very strong candidate for the quake. We await further signals for an accurate picture.

The Kyushu quake:

6.1

2011/04/09 12:57:49

30.013

131.810

21.3

KYUSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Fri Apr 8 14:39:14 UTC 2011

There has been a huge surge apparently as per the data available in the dam contents on 7th April 2011 of 1171 km/s, the highest in our data base ever from March 2008 till 7th April 2011, at the centre of gravity of the Indian dams and this final kick must also have finally given the 7.1 MM jolt off the East Coast of Honshu Japan as noted below for the 7th April 2011. Note that this huge surge will have future repercussions in the form of a major or great quake in the coming weeks, judging from the past data, their correlation and their scientific assessment.

Update time = Thu Apr 7 15:25:12 UTC 2011

A major earthquake occurred as expected because of violent surges in worldwide dam contents on 30th and 31 March 2011: In India alone the center of gravity of the dams experienced surges in water pressure of -165 and 159 km/sec respectively and some -97 km/sec on the 6th of April 2011 and these worldwide surges finally led to this:

7.1

2011/04/07 14:32:42

38.253

141.640

49.0

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

See http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com

for the data on dams considered for this analysis.

A tsunami warning has been issued.

Update time = Thu Apr 7 14:03:04 UTC 2011

The earthquake-a strong one occurred in the shadow band instead of at Myanmar:

6.5

2011/04/07 13:11:25

17.431

-93.978

167.4

VERACRUZ, MEXICO

This is the usual way the earth responds. See comments below for predictions - the expected longitude bands.

Update time = Thu Apr 7 11:00:01 UTC 2011

There is a sudden surge in the number of hotspots from 2009 at 1000 hrs to 5519 at 1100 hrs (All UTC). At Myanmar we find the hotspots as follows:

Total number of fires detected : 2150
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

This is a record of the jump in hotspots at Myanmar at 0350 hrs utc(Update at 1100hrs utc). The hotspots were sparse at Myanmar at update time of 1000hrs.

The intense hotspots show that a kick in water demand from dams has occurred. When will the earthquake occur there? We await signals towards the same. It depends on the extent of surge in dam contents. Please watch out.

Update time = Mon Apr 4 8:23:12 UTC 2011

There is an intense build up of hotspots in the Myanmar Thai Laos Region and may result in a major earthquake:

Total number of fires detected : 2444
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

In fact the rise in the number of hotspots scanned between 0700 and 0800( all UTC) has been phenomenal up from 2858 to 6807.

Update time = Sat Apr 2 13:17:10 UTC 2011

There has been a huge surge in dam contents on 31 March 2011 and now there is an intense hotspot region in the Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam Region and also in the East of India:

Total number of fires detected : 934
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

This will end up in the coming days in a major earthquake in this region or Indonesia. The average picture for April 2011 is a major earthquake in the range 7-7.6 MM between April 14 to 21. The earthquake may be expected to occur in this longitude band or in the band 80-100 or 60-80 or intheir shadows.

See http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com/

Update time = Thu Mar 31 14:09:48 UTC 2011

There has been a surge of change in dam contents on 30th March 2011 and with this kick a major earthquake is expected in the coming days, the 6.4 MM Fiji quake and the 6.2 MM quake off the East Coast of Honshu today notwithstanding. It may occur in the 60-80 or the 80 to 100 longitude bands, or its shadows or in their neighbouring longitude bands.

Update time = Mon Mar 28 11:35:31 UTC 2011

The following hotspot concentration is an indication of an earthquake in the region when the cluster collapses:

Total number of fires detected : 945
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Fri Mar 25 12:45:14 UTC 2011

There has been a tremendous surge in the water pressure at the centres of gravity of heavily dammed regions of the world, upwards of 200 km/s. We have already witnessed just now a strong earthquake in Japan Region as a response:

6.4

2011/03/25 11:36:25

38.763

141.942

39.2

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

But with such a huge surge a surge of Love and Raleigh waves would be traveling along the crust of the earth and thus a major earthquake is due in the coming days as indicated below. See the hotspots for the past 24 hours:

Judging from the hotspots the major earthquake is likely in the 70 to 100 longitude band- the Himalayas or the Myanmar-Thailand-Laos-Vietnam region or the Chinese or the Indonesian Region or in the 140-170 longitude-which includes New Zealand.

Update time = Fri Mar 25 6:00:03 UTC 2011

See the intense hotspots before the 6.8 MM earthquake in Shan Province of Myanmar(click on the images to get a view):

See how they vanished after the earthquake:

Dams by their giant sledgehammer effects (orders of magnitude taller than Mount Everest water head pressure changes every second) cause Love and Rayleigh waves to surge through the crust of the earth transmitting the huge forces and bending moment surges to areas on the earth which offer resistance. This causes the stresses to build up and directly heat up the earth(Figure 2 above). When the rock melts due to the intense heat, earthquake occurs causing the two sides of the earth to quake and the hotspots vanish because the friction no longer exists there(Figure 1)! Man-made natural disaster! At Myanmar no nuclear reactors exist. At Fukushima the bifurcation of chaos(earthquake and meltdown and consequent misery for ages) is still unimaginable.

Meeting water needs by dams is suicidal. Thats why God created trees!

See all the articles in http://practicethevedas.blogspot.com

See the Health Effects of Nuclear Power even during normal operations at:

http://isisunveiledhenp.blogspot.com/

Update time = Thu Mar 24 14:33:25 UTC 2011

USGS has just now revised the Myanmar quakes to one only and magnitude

6.8 MM: The earthquake has a potential for huge humanitarian impact in Shan Province where the quake occurred(Population 3.87 million).

6.8

2011/03/24 13:55:12

20.705

99.949

10.0

MYANMAR

Update time = Thu Mar 24 14:16:22 UTC 2011

Two major earthquakes have occurred now in Myanmar which was predicted below because of the intense hotspots there. See the hotspot map:

The earthquakes:

7.0	2011/03/24 13:55:36	20.898	99.883	229.4	MYANMAR
MAP	7.0	2011/03/24 13:55:12	20.705	99.949	10.0	MYANMAR

Some details of the Myanmar Region hotspots: Note that the hotspot cluster is as of 340 hts UTC. I expect the hotspots at around the quake time to vanish!

Total number of fires detected : 1690
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1319
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 723
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 765
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1003
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Dams worldwide the cause!

To get a sense of the cause effect relationship note that the correlation between daily sum of India dam content change(the forcing function) and the seismic moment the daily peak magnitude earthquake worldwide(the response function) is about 0.6 for the latest hydrological year for India 2010-2011 so far from June 2010, with 125 degrees of freedom and the probability that this is due to chance is negligible(of order 10E-15).

For details of the rigorous scientific research leading to implicate dams see http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com/

Reference: Hotspot data from: FIRMS:Fire Information for Resource Management System, URL: http://maps.geog.umd.edu/firms/

Update time = Thu Mar 24 9:12:24 UTC 2011

The following hotspot image shows how on the eastern bend of the Himalayas and on the Sagaing fault an intense hotspot cluster in the thousands has appeared at this time. Under the influence of this the Japan region has been continuously stressed and right now a strong 6.1 MM earthquake at Honshu has taken place:

6.1

2011/03/24 08:21:02

39.120

142.155

36.8

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Wed Mar 23 14:03:32 UTC 2011

The latest picture shows another gigantic increase in worldwide dam contents for 22 March -23 March. The hotspots on the India Myanmar Malaysia region and its shadow has shot up again on 22 March 2011 for 24 hours. On 23 March as of now the hotspots have vanished in the Malaysian region and its shadow(Mexico, Southern US). Also the New Zealand and the Japanese region have no hotspots. See the hotspot pictures:

Under the forcing function of this giant increase surge in dam contents a major earthquake is certain to occur in one of the regions discussed below in the coming days.

Update time = Wed Mar 23 2:00:03 UTC 2011

Two shots of the hotspots -one for 21 March 2011 and the other for 22 March 2011 and wonder about the contrast- the former is high on hotspots , the latter low. Watch out!

Update time = Tue Mar 22 16:08:27 UTC 2011

An interesting hotspot map at this time:

Note the absence of hotspots in the India China Indonesia region at this juncture!

Update time = Tue Mar 22 14:13:10 UTC 2011

There had been a set of huge surges in worldwide dam contents for the past 10, days, with two gigantic surges exceeding 125 km/s water pressure head change in opposite directions- a sudden increase and a sudden decrease. Response to these have been strong earthquakes 6.6MM,6.4MM,6.6MM and again a 6.0 MM on the 22nd of March 2011. A major earthquake is further imminent. Watch out in the longitude bands indicated below- the indications from hotspot map are this may occur in the India China Indonesia region.

The strong earthquakes so far today(3 in Honshu region and one in the Atlantic):

6.0

2011/03/22 13:31:30

-33.106

-16.027

14.5

SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

6.6

2011/03/22 09:44:30

39.863

143.436

15.5

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.4

2011/03/22 09:19:06

37.334

141.861

27.0

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

6.6

2011/03/22 07:18:48

37.249

143.956

26.5

OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Mon Mar 21 10:29:08 UTC 2011

A 5.8 MM earthquake has occurred in the Hindukush Mountains, Afghanistan:

5.8

2011/03/21 09:49:01

36.563

70.944

184.6

HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

An avalanche has been reported near the Rohtang Pass:

"2 die in avalanche in HP
Shimla, March 23 (PTI)

An avalanche triggered by a sudden rise in
mercury in the higher hills of Himachal Pradesh
killed two persons near Dhundhi, 18km from
Manali."
Dhundhi: Latitude = 32.3530, Longitude = 77.1298

There has been a quake in Chamoli:

14/03/2011 09:01:29 30.5°N 79.1°E 8 3.3 CHAMOLI, UTTARAKHAND

Nanded has been experiencing a series of tremors in the same longitude band:

500 tremors leave Nanded residents in the grip of fear
Published: Sunday, Mar 20, 2011, 23:41 IST
By Surendra Gangan | Place: Mumbai | Agency: DNA
Latitude = 19.1531, Longitude = 77.3058

The hotspots on the Indian Subcontinent, Myanmar and Malaysian region are intense( and in other related regions):

There has been a mine blast in Sorangu district of Baluchistan near Quetta, forest fires in Mundgod in Karnataka and fire in Tripura. All in the last couple of days. Mt Karangetang volcano has spewed in Sialu, Indonesia Monday(today). The dams worldwide are triggering- earthquakes and related events. Remote triggering of earthquakes are taking place independent of the tectonic setting of the triggers or the triggered events which are at stable cratons to the margins(See Ref: Velasco et al below). More is to come. Watch out!

Ref: Nature Geoscience 1, 375 - 379 (2008)
Published online: 25 May 2008 | doi:10.1038/ngeo204

Note: This reference only studies earthquakes triggering remote events. This is the nearest one could come to regarding my studies which establish incontrovertibly that earthquakes are caused by dams.

Update time = Fri Mar 18 7:29:04 UTC 2011

The surge in hotspots on the Indian peninsulsa and the northeast during the last seven days indicates a surge in dam contents in heavily dammed regions and a major earthquake is imminent as indicated below but in the coming days. Watch out and may God save us. The vanishing of the hotspots in North India and Pakistan may indicate that it may occur in the Himalayas or adjacent region.

Number of hotspots in the NE India on the 17th March 2011:

Total number of fires detected : 720
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

At 725 utc on the 18th Mar 2011 Number of hotspots in the northeast of India:

Total number of fires detected : 2
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Update time = Mon Mar 14 15:14:01 UTC 2011

There has been a sudden jump in the worldwide number of hotspots from 7589 on the 13th morning to 11966 on the 14th morning. This signifies a surge in worldwide dam contents- a huge sledge hammer effect at the centers of gravity of heavily dammed regions, notably in Asia. This is evident in the increase in the number of hotspots by an order of magnitude in the 75 to 95,95 to 105 and 105 to 115 longitude bands. There is also an ominous vanishing of hotspots in the Mexico to Haiti region. This means a strong to major earthquake may occur in the coming days in the Mexico to Haiti region or in Southern USA in the East or in the Western Ghats Region of India or in the longitude bands indicated above. Japan region may also have to be included in this prediction-for a major earthquake in the coming days.

The USGS web site has given the latest on the 11th March 9.0 MM Honshu quake and its immediate follow up as below:

Current Time: Thu, 24 Mar 2011 06:30:17 UTC

Note that the 9.0 quake is followed by three major earthquakes: 7.9MM,7.7 MM and 7.4 MM:

2011/03/11 07:38:26	39.20N	142.79E	31	7.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:34:58	37.90N	142.95E	39	5.7	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:28:13	36.80N	141.79E	38	6.1	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:25:36	37.93N	144.52E	36	6.1	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:14:57	36.58N	141.83E	15	6.3	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:13:47	36.12N	142.35E	35	5.9	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 07:11:00	37.88N	142.70E	39	5.8	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:58:58	37.36N	144.77E	24	6.3	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:57:15	35.70N	140.88E	37	6.0	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:48:45	37.96N	142.72E	13	6.2	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:40:58	39.88N	139.81E	44	5.8	NEAR THE WEST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:25:50	38.06N	144.59E	21	7.7	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:23:07	39.02N	142.34E	35	6.2	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:18:03	19.34N	154.98W	9	3.3	HAWAII REGION, HAWAII
2011/03/11 06:15:40	36.17N	141.17E	39	7.9	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:07:21	36.40N	141.86E	33	6.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 06:06:13	39.00N	142.29E	42	6.3	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011/03/11 05:46:24	38.29N	142.34E	32	9.0	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Fri Mar 11 7:00:02 UTC 2011

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	7.1	2011/03/11 06:25:51	38.074	144.559	26.5	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	3.2	2011/03/11 06:18:04	19.350	-154.991	9.5	HAWAII REGION, HAWAII
MAP	6.8	2011/03/11 06:15:46	36.126	140.234	30.2	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	6.4	2011/03/11 06:07:22	36.401	141.862	35.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	6.4	2011/03/11 06:06:11	39.025	142.316	25.1	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	8.9	2011/03/11 05:46:24	38.322	142.369	24.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Fri Mar 11 6:39:29 UTC 2011

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	3.2	2011/03/11 06:18:04	19.350	-154.991	9.5	HAWAII REGION, HAWAII
MAP	6.4	2011/03/11 06:07:22	36.401	141.862	35.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	6.4	2011/03/11 06:06:11	39.025	142.316	25.1	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	8.8	2011/03/11 05:46:24	38.322	142.369	24.4	NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Update time = Wed Mar 9 16:16:24 UTC 2011

The 2nd February 2011 prediction included the 140-160 longitude band for the major earthquake that occurred today:

7.2

2011/03/09 02:45:18

38.510

142.792

14.1

NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

It might have affected nuclear stations near the epicenter which are:

FUKUSHIMA-DAIICHI (194km), ONAGAWA (112km).

However we should await further developments in March- possibility of other such earthquakes, because of the tremendous surges in dam water pressures generated at the centers of gravity of water masses behind dams in heavily dammed regions. Watch out for news!

Update time = Fri Feb 25 9:06:11 UTC 2011

Another surge in worldwide dam water contents has been registered on 23 February 2011. There has been a trail of huge surges in daily dam content changes preceding this since September 24th 2010. A major earthquake is therefore due in the coming days-which may even be great. See Table 0910 below. The expected locations are as given below for 17 February 2011.

Update time = Tue Feb 22 7:24:05 UTC 2011

A strong 6.3 MM magnitude earthquake at Christchurch:

6.3

2011/02/21 23:51:43

-43.600

172.710

5.0

SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND

The hotspots were present in New Zealand on 21 February 2011 as follows:

Total number of fires detected : 5
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]
Latitude Longitude Date Time Brightness Confidence Scan Track Satellite Version Bright.T31 FRP
-43.899 171.699 2011-02-21 02:15 320.2 38 1.4 1.2 A 5.0 302.4 19.5
-43.89 171.679 2011-02-21 02:15 328.0 81 1.4 1.2 A 5.0 301.6 38.4
-43.898 171.693 2011-02-21 02:15 334.4 86 1.4 1.2 A 5.0 303.0 52.2
-43.849 171.629 2011-02-21 02:15 317.0 67 1.5 1.2 A 5.0 296.2 22.7
-43.851 171.611 2011-02-21 02:15 362.7 100 1.5 1.2 A 5.0 298.3 173.3

At other locations in New Zealand the hotspots appeared as follows just before the quake:

Total number of fires detected : 1
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]
Latitude Longitude Date Time Brightness Confidence Scan Track Satellite Version Bright.T31 FRP
-39.891 176.667 2011-02-21 22:45 313.8 59 2.2 1.4 T 5.0 298.1 28.6
Total number of fires detected : 1
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]
Latitude Longitude Date Time Brightness Confidence Scan Track Satellite Version Bright.T31 FRP
-34.697 172.966 2011-02-21 22:45 315.5 30 1.2 1.1 T 5.0 302.6 14.1
But no fires were detected in New Zealand on 22 Feb 2011 till 7 19 hrs utc.

On 2nd February 2011 I predicted an earthquake in the 160-180 longitude band as noted for the log for that date below. The earthquake resulted in loss of lives of at least 65 and a lot of damage to Christchurch.

I do hope the specialists will heed the presentations given here and in my complete profile regarding earthquakes caused by dams. That means a switch over to a normal civilisation with a drastic change in life style and with a thrifty attitude in everyday spending.

Update time = Fri Feb 18 12:00:04 UTC 2011

There is a tremendous surge in the water pressure at the centers of gravity of heavily dammed regions worldwide exceeding a water head of 100 km/s(More than 12 Mount Everests tall) . Watch out for a major earthquake in the coming days as pointed out below.

Update time = Fri Feb 18 8:17:34 UTC 2011

The Arkansas quakes are moving relentlessly towards the New Madrid quake locations. Watch Out for earthquakes as pointed out on 17th Feb 2011!

17 February 2011

Update time = Thu Feb 17 12:00:02 UTC 2011

A lot of earthquakes which are heat producing are occurring at Arkansas at

3.8

2011/02/17 10:49:49

35.276

-92.361

6.5

ARKANSAS

Watch out for a major earthquake in the longitude band of the New Madrid Quakes -100 to -80 , the neighbouring longitude bands -80 to -60 and -120 to -100 and also as pointed out on 2nd February below.

2 February 2011

Update time = Wed Feb 2 14:17:07 UTC 2011

Looking at the hotspots in the Web Fire Mapper day by day and with the gigantic storm sweeping the USA and the Queen of all cyclones hitting Queensland, we just require one trigger in the form of a surge in daily dam contents worldwide for a major earthquake in the 80-100,100-120, 120 140, 140-160 or in the 160 - 180 longitude band in the coming days. Watch Out!

19 January 2011

Update time = Wed Jan 19 7:14:03 UTC 2011

An enormous surge upwards of 150 km/sec water pressure in the daily storage content of the dams of the world occurred on 17th-18th January 2011. This resulted in surges of Love and Rayleigh waves to travel round through the crust of the earth resulting in a major 7.2 MM magnitude earthquake in South Western Pakistan on the 18th of January 2011:

7.2

2011/01/18 20:23:26

28.838

63.947

84.0

SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN

See the prediction under 10 January 2011 below.

14 January 2011

Update time = Fri Jan 14 8:00:02 UTC 2011

A major earthquake occurred at Loyalty Islands on 13th January 2011:

7.0

2011/01/13 16:16:42

-20.617

168.489

5.9

LOYALTY ISLANDS

as predicted in Table 0910.

The historical mean monthly peak magnitude earthquake in the longitude band 160-180 is as shown in Table 3: Lat -16.216, Long 167.46, Magnitude 7.5 MM and depth 41 km.

11 Jan 2011

Update time = Tue Jan 11 11:00:04 UTC 2011

The worldwide number of hotspots has gone up in the past 24 hours at 10:35:45 UTC on 11 January 2011 to 15020 from 9795 on 10th Jan 2011 at 102805 UTC. Thus the imminent major earthquake will occur in the coming days when the rocks melt at the fateful(!) location in one of the indicated longitude bands(see below). Watch out!

10 Jan 2011

Update time = Mon Jan 10 12:12:56 UTC 2011

The number of hotspots have decreased from 13337 on 9th Jan 2011 at 102831 UTC to 9795 on 10th Jan 2011 at 102805 UTC for respective 24 hour periods, signalling an imminent major earthquake-- most probably in the 80 to 100 or -100 to -80 longitude band, judging by the decrease in the density of hotspots. See the contrasting images for the two periods(but also keep a watch on the adjacent longitude bands as well!):

25 December 2010 at 15:28:11 UTC

The number of hotspots worldwide increased from 9626 on 24 December(24 hr data) to 10210 on 25th December(24 hr data) as of 930 hrs UTC. So I was expecting another major one and it happened today itself:

7.3

2010/12/25 13:16:37

-19.775

167.895

12.3

VANUATU REGION

Because of the huge stress build up with this major quake following the 21 December 2010 7.4 major quake at Bonin Island Region Japan, I expect a major or great quake in the following days in one of the regions I have indicated under the December News headings below. In particular this may occur in the 70-80 longitude band or in New Zealand or in the 100-110 longitude band, depending upon the simultaneous surge in the worldwide dam storages that is sure to occur in the coming days.

22 December 2010

After I had introduced the watch out notice on 21 December at 1540 hrs utc below a major earthquake occurred just adjacent to the 140 longitude band:

7.4

2010/12/21 17:19:41

26.892

143.726

14.0

BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION

The mean historical locations for the peak magnitude earthquake near this are:

20.066,144.581,7.6 MM,31.5 and 28.325,139.555,7.2 MM

21 December 2010

The longitude band 120 to 140 and -140 to -120 also need watching for a major earthquake in the remaining days of December 2010. The number of hotspots have again gone up from 20th to 21st substantially. It is significant that in the midst of snow the hotspots are making their presence felt:

5 December 2010

There is a lull before a storm regarding the number of earthquakes and the magnitude of earthquake but a surge of more than 20 percent in the number of hotspots. This is indicative of an imminent peak magnitude earthquake, watch out. There is a spate of earthquakes in the Alaskan Ring of Fire, indicative of the location there or in the New Zealand Region or Central America/Mexico region or in the Andaman-Indonesian Arc or in the India-China area or South America or Iran/Middle East Region(40-60 and 20-40 longitude bands). See Table 3 for the most probable latitudes in all these regions.

2 December 2010

Peak Magnitude Earthquake for December 2010

In Table 0910 the peak magnitude earthquake has been predicted:

7.1 MM to 8.7 MM,Mean 8.4 MM; date 9 to 16, Mean 13 December 2010. The most probable location: Any one of Longitude Bands -180 to -160,160 to 180, 80-100, 60-80. This may be revised depending on the Latest Earthquake occurrences.

The earth went into a low spin mode in November 2010 and instead of a major earthquake a strong earthquake occurred on 30 November 2010:

6.8

2010/11/30 03:24:41

28.365

139.152

475.2

BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION

Note the precision of the location for the peak magnitude earthquake as given by history in Table 3 below:

28.325,139.555,7.2 MM.

The upper limit of my 95% confidence limits was 21 November 2010! The location is as predicted: 120-140 longitude band.

The adjacent longitude band 140-160 has stressed itself up as shown by today's earthquake:

6.7

2010/12/02 03:12:10

-6.059

149.851

34.8

NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

16 November 2010

See how earthquakes are developing according to my expectation:

MAP	5.0	2010/11/16 02:07:04	12.466	44.259	11.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.8	2010/11/16 02:05:21	11.989	43.932	8.6	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	5.8	2010/11/16 01:39:42	-2.010	139.002	5.1	NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

On the 9th of November 2010 an earthquake occurred at Longitude 136:

4.3

2010/11/09 16:18:24

32.980

136.413

435.0

SOUTHEAST OF SHIKOKU, JAPAN

I predicted a quake at Longitude 136(14th November below)! A major quake may appear soon as predicted! Watch out!

Note: For November 2009, the stress build up Table NQP31OCT09 shows that the longitude band 120-140 has rank 3.

14 November 2010

Peak Magnitude Earthquake for November 2010.

The peak magnitude earthquake predicted in Table 0910 for November 2010(No significant difference between the two hydrological years 2010 and 2009) is 7.2 to 7.9 MM, date 14 to 21 November 2010.

There is a sudden increase in frequency of earthquakes in Yemen Region 12,44. It is expected that a major earthquake may occur in November 2010 here or in longitude band -44 or 136 or -136. See Table 3 below for the historical Peak Magnitude Earthquakes in these locations.

See the present activity:

Update time = Sun Nov 14 13:46:09 UTC 2010

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km	Region
MAP	2.6	2010/11/14 13:06:51	40.505	-123.970	19.9	NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 12:49:56	11.810	43.773	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	4.7	2010/11/14 12:48:34	12.108	43.721	10.1	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.8	2010/11/14 12:41:49	11.999	43.865	10.1	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	4.7	2010/11/14 12:39:00	12.169	43.971	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.7	2010/11/14 12:17:17	11.950	43.756	9.9	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	4.6	2010/11/14 12:00:47	11.801	43.967	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 11:30:19	12.175	43.891	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	5.1	2010/11/14 11:21:43	-0.155	-18.095	10.0	CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
MAP	4.8	2010/11/14 11:14:12	11.715	43.994	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	2.5	2010/11/14 11:11:13	32.139	-115.309	24.7	BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 10:37:47	11.874	44.023	10.0	GULF OF ADEN
MAP	4.5	2010/11/14 10:37:26	11.750	44.080	10.0	GULF OF ADEN
MAP	4.8	2010/11/14 10:34:29	12.137	44.014	10.1	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.6	2010/11/14 09:45:19	1.656	95.101	29.0	OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA
MAP	2.5	2010/11/14 09:28:35	59.807	-151.727	49.2	KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
MAP	4.8	2010/11/14 09:23:28	12.132	44.086	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 09:17:52	12.064	43.936	10.1	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.5	2010/11/14 09:06:00	12.110	43.987	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.6	2010/11/14 08:30:22	11.959	43.998	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF DJIBOUTI
MAP	5.0	2010/11/14 08:21:22	12.152	43.967	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.5	2010/11/14 07:57:18	12.025	44.079	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 07:38:34	11.979	44.019	10.0	GULF OF ADEN
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 07:27:39	12.578	43.970	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.8	2010/11/14 07:08:31	11.571	44.007	10.0	GULF OF ADEN
MAP	4.7	2010/11/14 07:03:36	12.102	44.113	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	3.4	2010/11/14 06:52:35	19.468	-65.320	111.8	PUERTO RICO REGION
MAP	5.4	2010/11/14 06:32:28	12.025	43.957	9.9	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.6	2010/11/14 06:29:31	12.688	44.073	10.0	NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN
MAP	4.9	2010/11/14 06:21:06	-43.589	172.387	5.3	SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
MAP	5.2	2010/11/14 06:10:31	34.026	141.357	39.5	OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP	2.7	2010/11/14 05:48:05	60.115	-153.446	151.5	SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAP	3.2	2010/11/14 05:45:47	19.314	-65.439	41.4	PUERTO RICO REGION
MAP	4.7	2010/11/14 04:59:49	63.199	-150.596	126.2	CENTRAL ALASKA
MAP	2.8	2010/11/14 00:15:57	32.138	-115.290	19.0	BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

Peak Magnitude Earthquake in October 2010

It occurred on 25th October 2010:

2010/10/25 14:42:22

3.48S

100.08E

7.8

KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA

The peak magnitude earthquake predicted by me for October 2010 at the begin of the hydrological year June 2010 to May 2011 picked up from the prediction for the previous hydrological year(no significant difference) is from Table 0910 below

7.3 to 7.8 MM magnitude, date 15th to 21st October.

The rank for the longitude band 100-120 is 7 for the stress build up for November 2009 from the Table for November 2009 below(Table NQP31OCT09). The rank for the adjacent longitude band 80-100 is 5.

For the 1 october prediction below, only a strong earthquake of magnitude 6.3 MM occurred on 4th October 2010 at longitude 125, 7 degrees away from 118:

2010,10,04,132838.86, 24.270, 125.154,6.3, 32,PDE-Q

1 october 2010

We may expect a major earthquake around -62 or 62 deg longitude or 118 deg longitude or -118 or 28 or -28 deg longitude considering the hotspots in S America and Africa in the first week of October 2010:

Total number of fires detected : 10308
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

September 30 2010

The dams of the world are causing havoc as the run up to the major 7.2 MM quake in the Papua Indonesia on 29 September 2010 predicted:

Total number of fires detected : 751
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Further to my memo of September 26th 2010 reproduced below see the following record
Total number of fires detected : 760
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

On 29th we see a major earthquake at the same location as for the quake recorded on September 26th:

MAP	7.2	2010/09/29 17:11:24	-4.920	133.783	12.3	NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
MAP	6.2	2010/09/29 17:10:51	-4.905	133.711	10.0	NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

See the enormous frictional heat developed by the American (North and South) dams :

Total number of fires detected : 2274
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

And see where the earthquake occurs supplemented by the effect of the India China dams:

MAP

6.0

2010/09/26 12:12:39

-5.314

133.933

8.7

KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA

September 29 2010

As predicted an earthquake occurred off North Island NZ today:

5.3

2010/09/29 04:14:48

-36.687

177.018

300.0

OFF EAST COAST OF THE NORTH ISLAND, N.Z.

There were four hotspots on 15th September 2010 in New Zealand when the All India rainfall was 8-9 mm/day:

Total number of fires detected : 4
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

These hotspots vanished till 25th September and three appeared again on 26th September 2010 when the All India rain was 6-7 mm/d:

Total number of fires detected : 2
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

Total number of fires detected : 1
[ONLY TOP 5 RESULTS ARE SHOWN.]

They vanished on 27th till 29th and on 29th September-presto an earthquake occurred as told above! Note that on the 3rd of September 2010 when the 7 MM major quake occurred in South Island NZ, the All India rain had surged to 11.5 to 12 mm/d while it was about 3 mm/d today when the 5.3 MM quake occurred off the east coast of North Is NZ!

See the predictive comments under September 16 below.

September 20 2010

As predicted(See below comments under August 20 2010) Iceland is experiencing earthquakes of greater than magnitude 3 MM about the time Alaska and Papua New Guinea were experiencing quakes:

2010-09-19	17:14:08,2	66,349	-17,049	1,1	3,6	90,03	27,2 km	WNW	of Kópasker
2010-09-19	17:14:07,8	66,377	-17,070	1,4	3,6	90,02	28,8 km	WNW	of Kópasker
2010-09-19	16:38:18,0	64,687	-17,286	1,9	1,8	90,01	11,1 km	SSW	of Kistufell
2010-09-19	17:22:18,9	64,689	-17,286	2,2	1,2	68,46	10,8 km	SSW	of Kistufell
2010-09-19	15:49:17,5	64,688	-17,344	5,3	1,7	52,71	10,2 km	ENE	of Bárðarbunga
2010-09-19	15:45:04,6	65,105	-16,488	1,1	3,0	90,01	5,1 km	WNW	of Herðubreiðartögl
2010-09-19	15:44:58,1	64,694	-17,309	1,0	3,5	90,07	10,8 km	SSW	of Kistufell

2.8	2010/09/19 17:47:11	57.381	-155.413	72.1	ALASKA PENINSULA
MAP	2.6	2010/09/19 17:14:40	60.159	-152.736	108.4	SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAP	2.7	2010/09/19 16:57:08	46.177	-74.548	0.1	SOUTHERN QUEBEC, CANADA
MAP	2.9	2010/09/19 16:47:30	46.182	-74.561	0.0	SOUTHERN QUEBEC, CANADA
MAP	5.0	2010/09/19 15:03:28	-6.218	147.666	52.7	EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Hotspots should follow soon to show up in Iceland on the FIRMS Web Fire Mapper. And then volcano(s) may become active. Watch out!

September 18 2010

As predicted on 10 September 2010(See below under this date), a strong earthquake occurred in the Hindukush region as the All India Daily Rain surged to a peak on 16th September 2010:

6.3

2010/09/17 19:21:13

36.488

70.826

199.7

HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

September 16 2010

Expect a major earthquake once again in the New Zealand Region in the coming days because

1. In India the daily rain surged to a peak on 15th September 2010(See imd.gov.in);

2. 4 hotspots have occurred in South Island, New Zealand(SINZ) where none existed on 14th September 2010. Note as before(as for the 3rd Sep 2010 SINZ quake prior to its occurrence), no hotspots are detected for 14th and 15 September 2010 in Alaska.

3. There are a swarm of earthquakes in the Alaskan Region prior to the appearance of these hotspots.

4. An earthquake occurred today in Tonga:

5.8

2010/09/16 01:54:40

-16.094

-173.954

82.0

TONGA

September 10 2010 at 1230 UTC

The South Island New Zealand major earthquake of 3 September 2010 occurred when the India-China daily rainfall wave peaked(local maximum) on the same date. So did the 15 July 2009 major quake in the same region(India daily rainfall peaked on 15 July 2009).

There is an ominous impasse in the earthquakes in the longitude band just after Crete Greece(25 longitude) and before the West Macquaire Region at 140 longitude. There have been hits at Northern California in the -122 longitude band followed by the raging San Francisco fire there.There have been continuous pounding in the -115 to -100 longitude region because of the center of gravity of the India China dams at 26,105 and of China dams at 26,112-115. We may expect a major earthquake either there or in the longitude band 120-140 where there has been storms at Taiwan and the Philippines(The neighbouring region 100-120 is also in tremorous danger). Japan or Indonesia is also an expected location. Because of the Bio Bio quake we may expect a quake also in the 60-80 longitude band or the adjacent 80-100 longitude band. Watch out!

August 20 2010

Two earthquakes have occurred at locations which have caused a swarm of earthquakes in Iceland leading to activation of volcano in the past with spewing of ash and disruption of air traffic:

4.7

2010/08/19 06:57:30

54.086

-35.120

10.0

REYKJANES RIDGE

5.0

2010/08/20 13:08:54

-55.790

-27.797

77.4

SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

We have to keep our fingers crossed!

August 14 2010

Update time = Sat Aug 14 6:42:11 UTC 2010

At around 1300 hrs UTC on 13th August I predicted a major quake(See below) and presto we unfortunately had one some eight hours later(The rains were beating down on the subcontinent and China then):

7.2

2010/08/13 21:19:32

12.409

141.487

4.7

MARIANA ISLANDS REGION

The repeatability of such predictions is uncanny is it not dear geotechs? Its the hydro projects -meeting water needs by dams is the culprit-which has a glaring lacuna in its design- the accumulative effect of simultaneous gushes into the reservoirs!

August 13 2010

There are a spate of earthquakes in the Azores Islands Region, and an earthquake in the Sea of Japan today. Also there has been a major earthquake in Ecuador on the 12th of August 2010.In view of heavy rains in the India-China Region, a major or great earthquake is expected in either the Indian Subcontinent Region,or the China-Indonesia-Japan Region or the -40 to -20 longitude band(possibly Azores Is Region) or the Turkey Region or the American Subcontinent(-140to -120 longitude band) including the Alaska Region(longitude band-160 to -140) during the next fortnight. Watch out! See the data below:

2.6	2010/08/13 08:06:19	33.498	-116.856	11.1	SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP	5.4	2010/08/13 07:58:49	36.931	-32.934	10.0	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	5.1	2010/08/13 06:28:14	37.078	-32.992	10.0	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	4.7	2010/08/13 06:16:29	37.139	-33.005	10.0	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	4.4	2010/08/13 05:49:19	41.005	134.736	414.3	SEA OF JAPAN
MAP	5.4	2010/08/13 05:40:49	37.078	-32.821	10.0	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	4.7	2010/08/13 05:23:26	37.058	-32.809	10.0	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	2.6	2010/08/13 04:19:36	18.843	-67.761	6.6	DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION
MAP	4.8	2010/08/13 04:11:04	36.915	-32.907	11.2	AZORES ISLANDS REGION
MAP	3.2	2010/08/13 03:17:24	32.821	-116.360	6.8	SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MAP	5.2	2010/08/13 01:33:57	48.237	148.576	396.3	NORTHWEST OF THE KURIL ISLANDS
MAP	3.4	2010/08/13 01:00:17	18.780	-67.812	3.0	DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION
MAP	2.6	2010/08/13 00:54:49	63.276	-150.399	128.0	CENTRAL ALASKA

7.1

2010/08/12 11:54:16

-1.260

-77.312

211.0

ECUADOR

July 24 2010

On account of repeated earthquakes in the longitude band 120-140, expect an earthquake of heat producing magnitude or a damage causing magnitude in the negative of this: Longitude band -140 to -120(Perhaps Central California Region).

On account of very heavy rains in the India China Japan Indonesia Philippines region major earthquakes occurred in Philippines:

7.4	2010/07/23 23:15:09	6.749	123.268	616.7	MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
MAP	7.6	2010/07/23 22:51:12	6.494	123.533	576.3	MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
MAP	5.4	2010/07/23 22:19:36	6.764	123.545	594.8	MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
MAP	7.3	2010/07/23 22:08:11	6.708	123.479	604.5	MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

The earthquake locations are near the historical mean for the peak magnitude earthquake. See Table 3 for longitude band 120-140,latitude band 0-30(2).

History:

8 earthquakes in category latitude 30(2), Longitude band 120-140, Mean Location: 6.98,125.6,7.5MM,Mean Depth for all 29 quakes in 0-30 latitude band 49km.History repeated again!

A number of earthquakes in the last seven days in this longitude band and the longitude band -140 to -120 immediately preceded the multiple quakes in the Moro Gulf,Mindanao,Philippines.Mother Earth gave adequate notice and always gives!

Water needs determine earthquakes! The accumulated effects of a spike in rainfall and electrical demand and quakes and the heating up the earth are interconnected in a feedback, feedforward loop. Avoid supplying our needs through dams! Supply through groundwater charged by rebuilt forests on a super grand scale NOW!

July 19 2010

Right now there is a cluster of earthquakes of heat producing magnitude occurring in the Alaskan Region. Thus considering the heavy rains in the India-China-Japan Region, a major earthquake may occur either in the Alaskan Region or in the New Zealand Region(longitude bands -180 to -150 or 150-180) or in the locations identified by history in these longitude bands(Table 3). However the 140-150 longitude band and the 60-80 longitude band as well as the 80-100 and the 100-120 longitude bands require watching out.

A major shallow 7.3 MM magnitude earthquake occurred on 18th July 2010 in the 140-160 longitude band at Papua New Guinea in the New Britain Region:

7.3 MM,13:35:03, -6.019,150.497,57.6 km.

The average picture for the peak magnitude earthquake does not change much from one hydrological year to the next as observed during the past few years. Thus the picture for the year 2009-2010 in Table 0910 indicated a major earthquake in the range 7.3 MM to 7.7 MM between 16 to 22 July averaging at 19th July! The historical mean 1973-2009 for the peak magnitude earthquake in the New Britain Region, Papua New Guinea is

Latitude Band -30 to 0,Longitude Band 140-160: -5.6655,151.1328,7.5MM,62 km.

Thus the past becomes the future in a constant lifestyle situation!

This is illustrated in the Table 1a at the top where the white diamonds indicate the historical mean locations in the various longitude bands. The prediction made on June 29th for the major earthquake to occur also in the "China or Indonesia or Japan" Region which is the 140-160 longitude band. And since the average picture in the various longitude bands is also given in Table 3 below computerised disaster managers should watch out for the peak magnitude quake in heavily stressed bands of longitude as given in the Table SBUFeb10(where the rankings or more or less valid still) using the look up table 3 for the expected latitude and longitude. The meaning is that in the Disaster Reachout Centres in the various longitude bands the teams should be ready to give succour, considering the heavy frequency with which significant earthquakes are occurring due to man-made reasons as shown here.

June 27th 2010 114020utc/June 29th 4hrs UTC

Judging by the heavy rain in the India-China region, I predict a major earthquake on the Indian Subcontinent or China or Indonesia or Japan or even in Bio-Bio Chile or Baja California Region in the coming days.

Watch Out!

June 16 2010

Major Earthquake!

2010,06,16,031627.52, -2.17, 136.54,7.0, 18

The prediction on June 15 came out correct!

The historical mean for the peak magnitude earthquake is

for latitude range -30 to 0, Latitude -4.96, Longitude 130,Magnitude 7.7,Depth 28 km.

June 15 2010 064921utc

WATCH OUT!

Cluster of earthquakes in Southern California portending a major or great earthquake in June 2010 there or in eastern China around Latitude 36 Longitude 115 or some other latitude around this longitude.

11 March 2010

The prediction of peak magnitude earthquakes in all 18 longitude bands in accordance with stress build up is shown in Table 12 below:

This Table reflects the peak of the peak magnitude earthquakes expected.

The average picture has already been given(Magnitude and date range for the entire hydrological year 2009 to 2010). See Table 0910 below:

In Table 0910 , the average picture for the monthly peak magnitude for the hydrological year 1 June 2009 to 31 May 2010 is presented. This gives the range for the month of March 2010 for the peak magnitude for earthquake in the range 7MM to 8.1MM.

Table 12 indicates that the Maximum for the peak magnitude earthquake is in the range 7.2MM to 9MM depending on the Longitude Band in which the major or great earthquake happens. The date of occurrence remains unaltered, namely, 13^th to 19^th March 2010.

The actual occurrence hypocentre depends on the water drawal rate for meeting electrical load change, agricultural and other consumption as well as water fill up rate in dams in heavily dammed regions.

Look at the way how Chile and Haiti earthquakes appear to follow these demands as shown below for typical electric load demand for 27th February 2010(Chile Great Quake of 8.8 MM) and for 12th January 2010(Haiti):

The location of the peak earthquake in March 2010 can be expected to occur where the hot spots are intense. See the following indicative map derived from FIRMS data for 7^th March 2010: The historical locations for the monthly mean peak magnitude locations are in Table 3 below and have been incorporated into Figure 1a below as white diamonds for each longitude band. This completes the prediction for March 2010.The past becomes the future in a business as usual way of life.

18th February 2010

A strong earthquake occurred today in a heavily dammed region(Indian Subcontinent,China,Japan,Koreas):

6.9

2010/02/18 01:13:19

42.581

130.537

573.8

CHINA-RUSSIA-NORTH KOREA BORDER REGION

It is close to the historical mean for monthly peak magnitude quakes:

See Table PMQHMM7308,Sr.No. 5,Longitude Band 120-140, Latitude Band 30-50,

Mean Monthly Peak Earthquake(14 Peaks): Latitude 37.29, Longitude 135.5,Magnitude 7.3,Depth: 484 km(4 Values).

It ranks 4th in the Table SBUFeb10 for the next quake magnitude taking stress build up below.

The minimum value for the quake magnitude prediction is 6.9 MM and the upper limit for the date is the 18th of February 2010.

Lets see the results till the month's end as usual.

12 February 2010

Prediction of Worldwide Peak magnitude Earthquakes for February 2010 as on 2^nd February 2010.

The following Table gives the Stress Build Up in all 18 longitude bands. The ranking is in descending order of the possible magnitude of the peak earthquake.

A graphical representation of the spectrum is shown below:

A region of intense hot spots has developed in the China-SE Asia India region, brought about by electric load demands in the area as the above figure shows. Watch out for earthquake of damage causing proportions in the above region-Andamans in particular for India, and Indonesia.

13th January 2010

A major earthquake hit Haiti :

7.0

2010/01/12 21:53:10

18.451

-72.445

10.0

HAITI REGION

Reports say major loss of life is feared. The nearest historical mean in this region(Latitude Band 0-30,Longitude Band -80 to -60) is

7.4MM,Latitude 8.36, Longitude -73.3, Depth 19.4 km.

Was there any fire in this location? See the FIRMS satellite data for 12th january 2010:

How about digital data table for this? Here it is:

Dams of the world which fall in the peak electric load demand region corresponding to Haiti could easily have caused this earthquake. A spike in the simultaneous electric demand sum in this region would have made the hydrogenerators of heavily dammed regions to pick up load and cause a waterwall pressure change of hundreds of kilometers per second to appear at the centre of gravity of the water masses behind these dams( or even a marginal change could have caused the chaotic stress change at the hypocentre) resulting in the major quake at Haiti.Prior to this heavy frictional rubbing at the location should occur to cause the rocks to melt after a time and the two sides of the quake to fly past one another as the fire evidence of FIRMS in the above two sureshots point out. Note that as of 26th december 2009, this longitude band is the tenth most heavily stressed region among 18 longitude bands: See Table SBU: 26th December 2009 below.

MITIGATION MEASURE:

The electric dispatch centres of the world should start monitoring on a crash basis the spikes in hydro electric generator load pick ups logging the time and the pick up rate and the generator location(dam) and identification. This way the micro load demand curve correlated with the earthquake data would clinch the issue. Start disaster prevention managers straightaway! What are you waiting for?

When you see the connection to the hydrogenerator action in creating catastrophic quakes, what can you do about it?

Design around the lacuna of course.

Instead of hydro-gens picking up the load, the gas fired stations should. We must stop using ATMs and use our cheque books instead. In gyms and apartments we should feed back electricity to the grids via our muscle pedal power.Make cloth only by handlooms operated by the enjoyment of animal and muscle power. Operate lifts by capstans operated by hand. By mechanical advantaging muscle power we avoid loading the hydros. Then practice frugal living by energy conserving absorption air conditioning,also power homes by home generated biogas to a certain extent. Use sewerless toilets which convert our waste to vermicompost. Walk to work by redesigning ways of life. Power laptops by muscle and animal power. Its a whole new change! When you compute you see that human muscle power(isothermal engines) can save at least 100000 MW! Just imagine what you can do to prevent quakes! March forward man. Its futile to call one set of communities developing and the other the developed, what with such top class foolishness going around! Practice production,consumption and RETURN!

PREVENTION MEASURES

But all the above measures will not prevent the dams from filling up rapidly in the monsoon! So use the waters in the dams on a crash basis to grow analogous trees all over the world. See that the trees stand tall after many amny years. See the film Avatar and learn from it! After sometime the dams will slowly start becoming redundant, when we change our life styles as exhorted above.

The fault dear Brutus lies not in our stars but in ourselves that we are underlings!

12th January 2010

Prediction for January 2010.

The stress table for the historical period 1st June 2008 to 26th December 2009(Data as on 26th December 2009) is as follows:

A major earthquake occurred on 3rd January 2010 in Solomon Islands as detailed below(third rank in the stress table above). This occurred 8 days before the lower limit of the estimated date of occurrence for the mean picture. We shall wait till end January 2010 for the final analysis of this prediction. It is worthwhile to note that Himalayas figure as the fifth most stressed(80-100 longitude band) and the ninth most stressed (60 to 80 longitude band).

A Commentary on the characteristics of historical earthquakes in the context of the belief that Himalayas probably take precedence over others

Re: Earthquake-prone Himalayas under stress,Deccan Herald Report,11th Jan 2010: http://www.deccanherald.com/content/46168/

So there is a problem after all with plate tectonics! And the explanation offered by this new theory is again probably a specialist eye view neglecting the effects of crucial phenomena happening since the 1500-1600s, namely massive deforestation and damming. This latter inference from earthquake data has lead to the discovery of a shift of epicenters of significant earthquakes from the mean at the Himalayan region from -2150 to 1500 to the Saudi Arabian region from 1500 onwards.This is caused by the loss of the great pumping action of forests centered at the Rift Valley Region of the once dark continent to the dam waters of the Indian Subcontinent and allied regions like China, with centre of gravity in the Narmada Valley Region. The massive transfer of groundwaters to surface waters by the above cause and tremendous sudden changes in electric load demand met by hydrogenerators has resulted in hundreds of kilometers per second water pressure heads(scores of Mount Everest heights of water wall pressure) to appear at the centers of gravity of water masses behind heavily dammed regions across several longitude bands both in the wet and dry seasons. This would scientifically explain the lack of huge earthquakes at the stressed Himalayas because of the shift in epicenters caused by modern civilisation's extravagant consumerism. This mean picture, however, does not preclude the occurrence of major to great earthquakes in the Himalayan Region, only that this is not the immediately threatened region, month by month, but rather the other higher stressed ones enumerated above in the Table. See the author's exposition in a series of research findings: http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com , http://predictingquakes.blogspot.com and others in his complete profile over there.

The most recently heavily stressed regions are the longitude bands -180 to -160,160-180,140-160,120-140 and thereafter 80-100(Rank 5) and 60-80(Rank 9).
Despecialise and you see the true holistic experience!

10th January 2010

A strong earthquake occurred today offshore California:

6.5

2010/01/10 00:27:38

40.670

-124.630

7.6

OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

The historical mean of the earthquakes from 1 June 2008 to 26th December 2009 in longitude band -140 to -120 is

6.8MM(expected magnitude), Mean Latitude 40.5,Mean Longitude -126.4, Mean Depth 9.1 km depth.

The past determines the future in a business as usual way of life!

8th January 2010

In December 2009 the earth went into a low spin mode and only strong earthquakes occurred.

On the 3rd of January 2010:

Solomons quake and tsunami 'leave 1,000 homeless'

http://news. bbc.co.uk/ 2/hi/asia- pacific/8441044. stm

Landslides and a tsunami triggered by a quake in the South Pacific's
Solomon Islands have left some 1,000 people homeless, say officials.

Aftershocks continued on Tuesday after Monday's quakes - the largest of
which was magnitude 7.2.

This quake led to a tsunami with waves of eight feet (2.5m) in some areas.

It led to widespread panic, according to eyewitnesses, but officials
said there had been no reports of serious injury or deaths.

About 200 houses were destroyed on remote Rendova island, some 190 miles
(300km) from the capital Honiara, officials said.

Sparsely populated

Aerial photographs taken from police helicopters on Tuesday showed
debris littering the coast, and scars from landslides inland.

Police commissioner Peter Marshall told the Associated Press news agency
that the lack of casualties was probably because people moved to higher
ground.

In this context my research findings are interesting for disaster prevention managers:

This 7.2 magnitude major earthquake that hit Solomon Isles on 3rd Jan 2010 reads at the USGS quake site as follows:

7.2

2010/01/03 22:36:28

-8.800

157.370

25.0

SOLOMON ISLANDS

Now if you check out at my site on earthquake prediction, http://predictingquakes.blogspot.com/ (See the URL one next to the one that follows below) you will notice the historical mean for the location of past quake nearest this as follows(Table PMQHMM7308): Longitude Band 140-160, Latitude Band -30 to 0, Mean hypocentre: Latitude -5.6655, Longitude 151.133, Magnitude 7.5 MM, Depth 62 km(shallow).

The disaster prevention robot ( a programmed signal generator for the disaster prevention manager) would flash this on the wide screen to look out for this probably in the form of the Table referred to above). Probably there would be one disaster prevention manager for each longitude band. Its so deterministic- the earthquakes-man-made disasters. Look at the whole story of how I look at the quakes at the URL cited above and the associate sites indicated in my profile over there.

When will the specialists( the modern civilisation's caste system so infinitely dangerous compared to the varnas of old) see the futility of their imperfect approach so clearly stated in the Gita:

Learn thou there is true knowledge:

To see one changeless life in all the lives,in the separate the inseparable.

There's imperfect knowledge- today's way- the bedrock of modern civilisation:

To see the separate existences apart and seeing them apart, to believe thats true.

Then there's false knowledge:

To cling to one as if it were all(man-made electricity: responding to huge rapid changes in demand via the surges of man-made water pressure walls 20 or more times than the Everest) every second),

causing the heating up of the earth and its melting resulting in earthquakes-man made disasters-chaos and doom.

Please look at the Universe and see the truth!

Go normal!

http://modernandnormal.blogspot.com/

Stop this gigantic fraud and have the guts to be good in thought, word and deed, despecialise!

13th November 2009

A strong earthquake occurred today near Tarapaca,Chile:

6.5

2009/11/13 03:05:57

-19.385

-70.266

28.0

OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE

This is almost at the historical mean for the monthly peak magnitude earthquake location:(Latitude,Longitude, Magnitude,Depth):

-18.0704,-71.1928,7.75MM,31.3(14),358(11)

There were 14 shallow peaks with a mean depth of 31.3 km and 11 deep peaks with a mean depth of 358 km during 1973 to 2008(Table PMQHMM7308).

Further the mean reading for the hotspots from FIRMS for 13th November 2009 is:

Longitude Band -80 to -60; Number of hotspots 346; Mean Latitude -6.55(average deviation 13.32); Mean longitude -66.17(average deviation 3.51). thus the quake at Tarapaca is within the hotspot circle with radius 13.32 around the mean of -6.55 for the latitude and radius 3.51 around the mean of -66.17 for the longitude!

The past becomes the future!

11th/12th November 2009

On 9th November 2009 a deep major earthquake occurred in Fiji:

7.2

2009/11/09 10:44:54

-17.212

178.413

585.1

FIJI

The past indeed becomes the future! To see this in this occurrence, consider the following data:

The hotspot mean as derived from the Fire Data provided by FIRMS for 9th November 2009 for the longitude band 160-180 is

Number of hotspots 8; Mean Latitude -19.56(Average deviation 4.74); Mean Longitude 172.47( Average deviation 5.09);

As of 29th October as measured from 1st June 2008, second highest total stress build up among 18 longitude bands with a mean epicenter for all earthquakes in this longitude band of :Latitude -12.23; Longitude 170.79;

Historical mean for the location of the monthly peak magnitude earthquake in the latitude range -30 to 0 for the 160 to 180 longitude band of latitude -16.22; longitude 167.46 and for the neighbouring longitude band of -180 to -160 of latitude -20.77, longitude -175.7.

It is therefore interesting to note the location of the epicenter of an earthquake that occurred on 12th November 2009 in Fiji Region :

5.8

2009/11/12 02:13:39

-20.945

-178.716

580.0

FIJI REGION

8^th November 2009

The stress tables are shown below(Table NQP31OCT09 and Table NQPS31OCT09):

From the TableNQP31OCT09 above and the Rate of Stress Build Up derived in the following Table NQPS31OCT09 the stress at which the next quake is expected to occur is derived and from that the magnitude of the next quake is estimated.

The peak magnitude earthquake for November 2009, on the basis of an average picture for the past years starting from June 1973, has a range for the moment magnitude of 7.2MM to 7.9MM with an average of 7.8MM. It is expected to occur between 14^th to 21^st November 2009. The rank for the most probable location in terms of the longitude band is shown in Table NQP31OCT09 and also in Table NQPS31OCT09 above. The probable magnitude ranges from a great to a major earthquake till the 11^th rank and strong ones for the other ranks. This is as at the begin of November 2009.

HOW THE INDIA_CHINA DAM COMPLEXES ARE PERSISTENTLY CAUSING WORLDWIDE EARTHQUAKES

A study of Table ADQCG is revealing together with the evidence presented in the link cited in this table:

http://earthquakescausedbydams.blogspot.com

Table ADQCG shows that at the centre of gravity of the India-China dam conglomerate, the surge waves of water pressure changes amounting to tens to hundreds of kilometers per second occur as the hydrogenerators draw water to meet the sudden electrical load demands across several longitude bands simultaneously during the dry season and/ or as the dams accumulate the surges of rushing waters during rains. Not only surges of changes in pore pressures may occur, but also tremendous changes in forces at the centers of gravity cause huge bending moments at faults. Surges of Love and Rayleigh waves travel across the crust of the earth unleashing hotspots as shown for each longitude band in Table NQP31OCT09, culminating in earthquakes in a positive feedback cycle(As Ref1 points out, this article is further informed by the knowledge that many earthquake sensing stations show triggering in a wide variety of tectonic environments, from stable cratons to active margins).

As shown again and again by the recurring earthquakes, the earth remembers the past earthquake locations so much so that the newer earthquakes occur at the mean locations of the monthly historical earthquakes. The past determines the future. See discussions of earthquakes which had occurred every month in

http://predictingquakes.blogspot.com/

The findings displayed above are statistically significant as data from 1973 show.

A glaring safety and security lacuna exposed by the hydroelectric stations.

This highlights a glaring lacuna in the way electricity demands are met by the present design of the electric system. It compromises the safety and security of people as they demand electricity from today’s electric grids of the world.

By persisting with a business as usual mindset modern civilization is dealing its own death knell. Instead, the seven billion people of the planet can meet their needs for living which do not cause the earth to heat up, causing hurricanes ,floods,glacier melts ,landslides and earthquakes by radically altering their lifestyles to one of meeting their living needs, not their lavish suicidal styles. And making it feasible not to expose the hydrogenerators to meet the sudden demands for electricity.

7 billion people means living power of 280 billion watts or 280 gigawatts or 280000 Megawatts. The peak power of human power is, at 100 W per head, 700000 MW or twice the capacity of existing nuclear power plants in the world. Further tree power at 1000 MW
every square kilometer(20kg/square meter dry biomass weight) on a third of India’s land area means a tree power flow of a million gigawatts. By meeting many many electric needs locally in non-hydroelectric mechanical advantaged methods. The single radical shift
required is a willingness to live where one works and to work where one lives. And practice need based production,consumption and return.

References

Ref1:

Global ubiquity of dynamic earthquake
triggering
AARON A. VELASCO1*, STEPHEN HERNANDEZ1, TOM PARSONS2 AND KRIS PANKOW3
1Geological Sciences, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, Texas 79968, USA
2United States Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA
3University of Utah Seismograph Stations, Salt Lake City, Utah 84112, USA
Published online: 25 May 2008; doi:10.1038/ngeo204

3 Comments:

Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...: A strong earthquake occurred on 17th November 2009 in Queen Charlotte Islands Region:Date/Time 2009/11/17 15:30:47,
Magnitude 6.6 MM, Hypocenter 52.151,-131.378,11.6 km.
My table PMQHMM7308 shows the following historical monthly Peak Magnitude EaRTHQUAKE mean data for the earthquake parameters in the latitude band 50-70 and longitude band -140 to -120:
Latitude 56.705,Longitude
-127.42,Magnitude 6.8 MM,Depth 10 km.
Lesson: The past becomes the future in a business as usual modern civilisation. The disaster prevention managers may become proactive on the basis of this prediction method.; 1:19 PM
Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...: 7 September 2011 had the highest amount of monsoon rains in the monsoon zone identified in the India map equal to that registered for 10 August 2011 in the section on active break time series events in the section southwest monsoon 2011 of the website http://www.imdpune.gov.in/Index.html
of the India Meteorological Department,Pune.This means a big surge in daily dam contents in the India region is due. Also because of the monsoon a similar surge would occur in the daily dam contents of the China Region. The web fire mapper of the FAO/University of Maryland also reveals
intense heating in many continents caused by the world's
dams. On account of these observations for 7 September
2011 a major or a great earthquake is expected in the
coming weeks in the Japan/Indonesia/West Coast of South America/Central America/Mexico Region of the Pacific Ring of Fire including also the New Zealand Region.; 8:44 AM
Ramaswami Ashok Kumar said...: 19 September 2011
There is a surge wave of rain in the past week all over the India China Region with landslides,floods,earthquakes and death and destruction. The web fire mapper for 19 Sep 2011 shows a huge intensity of hot spots in the Central part of the South American continent and the part of Africa below the e quator. Further the Japan Region as well as the New Zealand Region is blank along with the Sumatra Region.It is ripe for a big earthquake in the Pacific Rim with the number of earthquakes in the USGS map for the Latest Earthquakes in the World in the Past Seven Days being
just 207.; 2:03 AM

Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
-42.773	172.498	2011-08-10	02:50	317.8	69	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	288.4	36.9
-42.786	172.486	2011-08-10	02:50	363.0	100	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	292.7	162.5
-42.783	172.501	2011-08-10	02:50	433.1	100	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	302.7	780.5
-42.782	172.491	2011-08-10	02:50	437.4	100	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	302.5	845.9
-42.778	172.507	2011-08-10	02:50	419.9	100	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	295.0	601.7

Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
-8.63	18.511	2011-07-21	08:50	316.5	66	1.6	1.3	T	5.0	303.4	18.3
-9.831	18.324	2011-07-21	08:50	334.7	86	1.6	1.2	T	5.0	305.9	61.0
-9.833	18.339	2011-07-21	08:50	339.0	89	1.6	1.2	T	5.0	305.4	75.8
-9.833	18.333	2011-07-21	08:50	339.7	90	1.6	1.2	T	5.0	306.0	76.5
-9.936	15.48	2011-07-21	08:50	315.6	64	2.6	1.6	T	5.0	300.4	44.7

predicting earthquakes

Monday, November 09, 2009

RAINFALL (cm) DATED July 31, 2011

The typhoon has brought heavy rain to Fukushima, prompting fears that run-off water may wash away radioactive materials into the Pacific. Plant operator Tepco has been pouring synthetic resins over the complex to prevent radioactive deposits from being swept away. –NZ Herald

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Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
-0.66	-48.994	2011-12-30	13:30	330.9	77	1.2	1.1	T	5.0	301.4	23.4
-1.276	-48.967	2011-12-30	13:30	322.1	60	1.2	1.1	T	5.0	300.1	19.6
-1.193	-51.947	2011-12-30	13:30	315.7	37	1.9	1.4	T	5.0	294.7	24.7
-1.342	-52.269	2011-12-30	13:30	315.9	45	2.0	1.4	T	5.0	294.3	25.7
-1.377	-52.11	2011-12-30	13:30	327.4	70	2.0	1.4	T	5.0	294.1	65.0

Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
-2.867	-52.043	2011-12-31	04:50	309.0	64	1.1	1.1	A	5.0	292.6	12.9
-2.94	-52.166	2011-12-31	04:50	309.0	64	1.2	1.1	A	5.0	291.5	14.2
-2.997	-51.913	2011-12-31	04:50	306.4	45	1.1	1.1	A	5.0	291.4	10.9
-2.915	-52.75	2011-12-31	04:50	306.3	44	1.3	1.1	A	5.0	291.6	12.4
-1.526	-52.154	2011-12-31	01:55	309.1	64	1.0	1.0	T	5.0	292.2	10.0

Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
-20.789	140.689	2011-12-31	01:10	335.3	86	1.5	1.2	T	5.0	312.4	34.2
-20.8	140.687	2011-12-31	01:10	334.3	83	1.5	1.2	T	5.0	309.3	33.8
-20.791	140.683	2011-12-31	01:10	336.1	87	1.5	1.2	T	5.0	311.8	38.8
-20.793	140.697	2011-12-31	01:10	333.0	85	1.5	1.2	T	5.0	311.1	29.8
-19.068	143.642	2011-12-31	01:10	323.4	62	2.3	1.5	T	5.0	302.3	43.2

Latitude	Longitude	Date	Time	Brightness	Confidence	Scan	Track	Satellite	Version	Bright.T31	FRP
26.887	95.301	2011-12-27	04:40	327.3	80	1.4	1.2	T	5.0	292.6	50.6
26.885	95.313	2011-12-27	04:40	327.0	80	1.4	1.2	T	5.0	292.7	50.0
26.877	95.299	2011-12-27	04:40	317.4	68	1.4	1.2	T	5.0	292.3	32.4
26.875	95.311	2011-12-27	04:40	328.6	82	1.4	1.2	T	5.0	291.2	54.5
26.771	95.309	2011-12-27	04:40	321.3	74	1.4	1.2	T	5.0	294.3	39.1